FNUS72 KJAX 141153 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR SF 2C...FLA PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 753 AM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON OCTOBER 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MOIST ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. MIN RH VALUES MAY BRIEFLY FALL TO BELOW CRITICAL VALUES BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOONS. HOWEVER...ERC VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BE BELOW 35 AND SUSTAINED WINDS LESS THAN 15 MPH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 8 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 28 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 54 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 43 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........35 43 46 48 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............77 84 88 88 RH..............70 56 49 47 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 8 E 7 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 3500 4100 4300 TRANSPORT WIND..E 12 E 14 E 9 E 8 DISPERSION INDX.28 58 45 41 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1400 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........EAST 0 TO 9 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....33 DECREASING TO 3 EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. LVORI...............6. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........48 48 48 48 52 56 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............86 77 71 69 67 65 RH..............49 68 83 89 92 97 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 3 E 2 SE 2 SE 1 SE 0 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3500 1800 1100 700 600 300 TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 E 9 SE 8 SE 6 SE 5 SE 1 LVORI...........1 3 5 6 6 8 DISPERSION INDX.35 5 5 4 3 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300-4500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 0 TO 9 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 9 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 46. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...STRUBLE REQUESTED BY...DYLAN SHOEMAKER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121014.SF2C_.01/JAX