FNUS75 KRIW 151618
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR HURICANE MESA...USFS SHF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1018 AM MDT MON OCT 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0955 MDT ON OCTOBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM.
WIND WILL BE INCREASING AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS LATER TONIGHT AHEAD OF A
STRONGER WEATHER SYSTEM THAT ARRIVES TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH
THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
REGION EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND BRING FALLING SNOW LEVELS LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON. IT WILL REMAIN QUITE WINDY THROUGH MOST OF TUESDAY AS
WELL. WINDS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE TUESDAY NIGHT WITH SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...HATTINGS

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS 35 TO 40 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 40 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (49500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (109000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-38.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
                    INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 45 MPH
                    AFTER 0200.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 TO 35 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (45800-85900 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-54.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-44 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 TO 45
                    MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 35 TO 45 MPH DECREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 TO 40 MPH INCREASING TO 50 TO 60 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 30 TO 40 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT (135800-158900 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS
IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS DECREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...COLDER. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...HATTINGS
REQUESTED BY...CLINT DAWSON
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20121015.HURIC.01/RIW