FNUS75 KBOU 171119 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FERN LAKE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 519 AM MDT WED OCT 17 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...VERY STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS. THE AIRMASS WILL BE STABLE AND VERY DRY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH TONIGHT AS THE UPPER LEVEL JET MOVES EAST OF COLORADO. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-44. MIN HUMIDITY........20-26%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 20-30 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 53-64 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25. MAX HUMIDITY........52-58%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 27-38 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 19-28 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 56-64 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 44-52 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL 2400...THEN 1400-2200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 0100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0500...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-50. MIN HUMIDITY........18-24%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 16-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 40-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FERNLAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/17-05 3 0 0 30 54 W24 36 4 1 W96 4825 W58 242831 E 10/17-06 3 0 0 29 54 W23 35 4 1 NW98 4972 W59 253830 E 10/17-07 10 0 0 28 53 W21 31 4 1NW102 4949 NW59 251907 E 10/17-08 10 0 0 28 52 W20 29 4 1NW106 4926 NW59 249985 E 10/17-09 10 0 0 30 47 W18 28 4 1NW108 4903 NW59 248062 E 10/17-10 10 0 0 33 40 W20 30 4 1NW105 4992 NW58 248251 E 10/17-11 10 0 0 36 32 W23 33 4 1 NW98 5081 NW56 248441 E 10/17-12 16 0 0 39 27 W25 38 4 1 NW93 5170 NW55 248630 E 10/17-13 16 0 0 41 25 W28 41 4 1 NW91 5292 NW56 257802 E 10/17-14 16 0 0 41 24 W29 44 3 1 NW90 5414 NW56 266975 E 10/17-15 16 0 0 41 24 W30 45 3 1 NW87 5536 NW58 276147 E 10/17-16 16 0 0 41 24 W30 45 3 1 NW85 5114 NW59 261052 E 10/17-17 16 0 0 38 25 W30 45 2 1 NW82 4691 NW61 245956 E 10/17-18 15 0 0 35 27 W30 45 2 1 NW81 4269 NW62 230860 E 10/17-19 15 0 0 33 29 W32 47 2 1 NW83 3877 W62 208021 E 10/17-20 15 0 0 30 33 W33 51 2 1 NW85 3486 W61 185181 E 10/17-21 15 0 0 29 35 W35 52 2 1 NW89 3095 W60 162342 E 10/17-22 15 0 0 28 39 W32 48 2 1 NW89 2814 W58 142664 V 10/17-23 15 0 0 27 42 W30 44 2 1 NW89 2534 W55 122987 V 10/18-00 12 0 0 26 44 W26 40 2 1 NW89 2253 W53 103309 V 10/18-01 12 0 0 24 51 W25 37 2 1 NW87 1974 W49 86423 G 10/18-02 12 0 0 23 53 W24 36 2 1 NW86 1694 W46 69536 G 10/18-03 12 0 0 22 54 W23 35 2 1 NW84 1415 W43 52650 F 10/18-04 12 0 0 22 51 W22 33 2 1 NW83 1488 W45 57879 F 10/18-05 12 0 0 24 46 W21 32 3 1 NW81 1562 W46 63107 G 10/18-06 11 0 0 24 44 W21 31 3 1 NW78 1636 W48 68336 G 10/18-07 11 0 0 24 44 W21 31 3 1 NW78 1745 W48 72685 G 10/18-08 11 0 0 24 45 W21 31 3 1 NW77 1854 W48 77033 G 10/18-09 11 0 0 27 41 W21 31 3 1 NW77 1963 NW47 81381 G 10/18-10 11 0 0 31 35 W21 33 3 1 NW75 2729 NW47 112798 V 10/18-11 11 0 0 37 28 W22 35 2 1 NW73 3496 NW47 144216 V 10/18-12 12 0 0 42 23 W22 35 2 1 NW69 4262 NW47 175633 E 10/18-13 12 0 0 45 21 W22 35 2 1 NW68 4522 NW46 177909 E 10/18-14 12 0 0 46 21 W22 35 2 1 NW66 4782 NW44 180186 E 10/18-15 12 0 0 46 20 W21 33 2 1 NW64 5043 NW41 182462 E 10/18-16 12 0 0 45 21 W18 30 2 1 N63 4320 NW40 153417 E 10/18-17 12 0 0 42 23 W17 26 3 1 N62 3598 NW39 124372 V 10/18-18 12 0 0 39 26 W15 24 3 1 N61 2876 NW38 95328 G 10/18-19 12 0 0 36 29 W14 23 3 1 N60 2382 NW37 77337 G 10/18-20 12 0 0 34 32 W14 22 3 1 N58 1888 NW36 59347 F 10/18-21 12 0 0 33 33 W14 22 3 1 N55 1395 NW35 41356 F 10/18-22 12 0 0 31 35 W14 21 3 1 N53 1161 W31 32859 P 10/18-23 12 0 0 30 37 W13 21 3 1 N51 926 W29 24361 P 10/19-00 7 0 0 30 38 W13 21 3 1 N48 692 W26 15863 P 10/19-01 7 0 0 29 40 W13 21 3 1 N48 586 W24 12904 P 10/19-02 7 0 0 27 43 W14 22 3 1 NW49 481 W23 9944 P 10/19-03 7 0 0 27 45 W14 22 3 1 NW49 375 W22 6985 P 10/19-04 7 0 0 27 45 W14 22 3 1 NW51 441 W23 8784 P 10/19-05 7 0 0 29 43 W13 21 4 1 NW51 507 W24 10584 P 10/19-06 11 0 0 29 43 W13 21 4 1 NW48 573 W25 12383 P 10/19-07 11 0 0 28 46 W13 21 4 1 NW46 613 W24 12609 P 10/19-08 11 0 0 28 48 W14 22 4 1 NW41 652 W23 12836 P 10/19-09 11 0 0 32 43 W14 22 4 1 NW38 692 W22 13062 P 10/19-10 11 0 0 38 35 W13 21 4 1 NW35 1663 W23 36467 P 10/19-11 11 0 0 46 27 W13 20 4 1 NW31 2633 W25 59872 F 10/19-12 21 0 0 48 24 W12 18 4 1 NW31 3604 W26 83277 G 10/19-13 21 0 0 52 22 W12 20 4 1 NW35 4165 W28 101662 V 10/19-14 21 0 0 52 22 W13 21 4 1 NW39 4726 W29 120047 V 10/19-15 21 0 0 53 22 W14 22 4 1 NW43 5288 W30 138432 V 10/19-16 21 0 0 51 23 W14 22 4 1 NW43 4699 W29 120470 V 10/19-17 21 0 0 49 25 W14 22 4 1 NW41 4110 W29 102508 V 10/19-18 22 0 0 45 28 W14 22 4 1 NW40 3522 W28 84546 G 10/19-19 22 0 0 42 30 W14 22 4 1 NW39 2599 W25 60884 G 10/19-20 22 0 0 39 33 W14 22 3 1 NW39 1677 W23 37221 P 10/19-21 22 0 0 38 33 W14 21 3 1 NW39 755 W21 13558 P 10/19-22 22 0 0 36 33 W13 21 3 1 NW39 625 W20 10934 P 10/19-23 22 0 0 35 34 W13 21 3 1 NW39 496 W18 8310 P 10/20-00 19 0 0 35 34 W13 21 3 1 W39 367 W17 5685 P 10/20-01 19 0 0 33 36 W13 21 3 1 W40 330 W17 5107 P 10/20-02 19 0 0 32 39 W13 20 3 1 W41 294 W17 4528 P 10/20-03 19 0 0 32 41 W13 20 3 1 W43 257 W17 3950 P 10/20-04 19 0 0 32 42 W13 21 3 1 W43 286 W18 4612 P 10/20-05 19 0 0 33 42 W13 21 3 1 W43 315 W20 5273 P 10/20-06 25 1 0 34 42 W13 21 3 1 W43 344 W20 5935 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...NATE WILLIAMSON REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20121016.FERNL.02/BOU