FNUS75 KGJT 161400
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SNOW ANGEL 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
800 AM MDT TUE OCT 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0643 MDT ON OCTOBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE COLORADO/WYOMING BORDER
LATE THIS AFTERNOON THEN PASS OVER WESTERN COLORADO TONIGHT...
REACHING THE SOUTHERN SLOPES OF THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS TOWARDS
MORNING. AS THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SURFACE
WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL THEN DECOUPLE THIS
EVENING...BUT AS THE FRONT APPROACHES LATE TONIGHT...THEY WILL
AGAIN INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY. ANY MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
FRONT WILL REMAIN WELL TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE FIRE.
THEREFORE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY...WITH EVEN DRIER
AIR FOLLOWING ON WEDNESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO
DROP SEVERAL DEGREES BETWEEN TODAY AND WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST BY NOON AND
                    INCREASING TO 9-13 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON WITH
                    GUSTS TO 20 MPH. BY LATE AFTERNOON...A FEW
                    GUSTS TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........56-61%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH. WINDS WILL
                    BECOME SOUTHWEST THEN WEST AT 8-13 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 25 MPH AS THE FRONT APPROACHES AND
                    PASSES OVERHEAD. FRONTAL PASSAGE IS EXPECTED
                    BETWEEN 0300 AND 0600.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 9-14 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...STEVE HENTSCHEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20121016.SNOWA.01/GJT