FNUS75 KGJT 162005
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH FORK FALLS...GJ INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
205 PM MDT TUE OCT 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1308 MDT ON OCTOBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE COLORADO/WYOMING
BORDER. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER NORTHWEST COLORADO
EARLY THIS EVENING AND ACROSS THE BURN SITE BY MID TO LATE THIS
EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN AROUND 5 PM AND
MIDNIGHT WITH GUSTS 45 TO 50 MPH. WINDS WILL BECOME WEST AS THE
FRONT PASSES...THEN BECOME NORTHWEST AND DECREASE LATE TONIGHT.
THIS STORM DOES NOT CARRY AN ABUNDANCE OF MOISTURE...BUT THE
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL INCREASE BECOMING LIKELY BY LATE EVENING.
PRECIPITATION WILL SWITCH TO ALL SNOW BEHIND THE FRONT. ALSO A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING WITH THE FRONT. BY
MORNING A TRACE TO 2 INCHES OF FRESH SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE.

CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY DRY ON WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES 10 TO
15 DEGREES COLDER. BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE ESPECIALLY
OVER EXPOSED RIDGES.

.THIS AFTERNOON (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-59 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 30 MPH INCREASING 20-25 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-SOUTHWEST 40 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SHOWERS
                    INCREASING...BECOMING NUMEROUS BY MIDNIGHT.
                    A FEW THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE EVENING.
                    RAIN MIXING WITH SNOW BY LATE EVENING...THEN
                    BECOMING ALL SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-29 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST-SOUTHWEST 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 TO 50
                    MPH UNTIL LATE THIS EVENING...THEN BECOMING
                    WEST AND DECREASING AFTER MIDNIGHT TO 15-20.
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    10-15 MPH WITH STRONGER GUSTS EXPECTED.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 38 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 30 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 12-18 MPH. GUSTS 30-40 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 32 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...JOSHUA GRAHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20121016.SOUTH.01/GJT