FNUS75 KGJT 162201
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR VALLECITO...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
401 PM MDT TUE OCT 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1539 MDT ON OCTOBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE COLORADO/WYOMING
BORDER. THE FRONT WILL PASS OVER THE BURN SITE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SO THE SURFACE-BASED INVERSION WILL LIKELY SET UP AROUND SUNSET
BUT MAY THEN BE DISRUPTED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
EXPECT GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WITH THE FRONT BUT ONLY A CHANCE OF
SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES. THE NEW COOL AIR MASS WILL POUR OVER THE
REGION ON WEDNESDAY BRING BREEZY NW WINDS THROUGH THE DAY. WITH
THE DRY AIR MASS AND GUSTY WINDS...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-72 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-17%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 8-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-50%). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF VERY
                    LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 2-8 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 8-15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 0500.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS TIPTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20121016.VALLE.01/GJT