FNUS72 KJAX 161149
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COMP 77...OSCEOLA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
749 AM EDT TUE OCT 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0805 EDT ON OCTOBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRIER AIR WILL FILTER IN BEHIND COLD FRONT TODAY WITH CRITICAL
RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS BELOW 35 PERCENT EXPECTED ACROSS INLAND
AREAS AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. WINDS
AND DISPERSION VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL
VALUES AND RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED BUT FIRE DANGER
STATEMENTS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR INLAND NORTHEAST FLORIDA DUE TO
MARGINAL CONDITIONS. HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL
LINGER OVER THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LESS THAN 15 MPH THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........63 AT IGNITION...MAX 80.
RH..................80 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO
                    5300-5800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 50 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........5      6      10     18     30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     74     79     80     80
RH..............80     55     40     30     35
20 FT WIND......N 7    NE 12  NE 12  NE 12  NE 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     18     18     18     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1900   4100   5300   5800   5700
TRANSPORT WIND..N 15   NE 15  NE 15  NE 10  NE 10
LVORI...........4      1      1      1      1
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-700 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH DECREASING TO 1 TO 3 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT
DISPERSION INDEX....50 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........30     31     30     30     30     30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............75     66     62     60     58     56
RH..............41     59     70     78     86     92
20 FT WIND......NE 8   NE 6   NE 3   NE 2   NE 2   NE 1
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4800   2800   1900   1400   900    500
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 12  NE 10  E 10   E 10   NE 6   NE 5
LVORI...........1      1      3      4      6      6
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80.
RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 1 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 38 LATE IN THE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.

$$
FORECASTER...NELSON
REQUESTED BY...MARLENE BULLARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121016.COMP7.02/JAX