FNUS74 KBMX 171241 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR FAIRVIEW...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 741 AM CDT WED OCT 17 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE PRESENT FOR MUCH OF TODAY. ALTHOUGH SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS LATE TODAY AHEAD OF A FRONT... IT WILL NOT BE UNTIL AFTER A DRY DAY WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE 30S. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE PRESENT MAINLY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE STATE WITH MUCH DRIER AIR MOVING INTO THE AREA BY LATE THURSDAY. ON FRIDAY VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE PRESENT WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES GOING DOWN INTO THE 20S. WINDS WILL STAY UP FOR FRIDAY DUE TO A TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT. KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX SHOWING THE HIGHEST VALUES IN THE SOUTHEAST FIRE DISTRICT FOR FRIDAY. WILL BE MONITORING FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF RED FLAG WARNING NECESSARY FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE SOUTHEAST. BY SATURDAY...CONDITIONS MODERATE AS THE RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE DEEP SOUTH KEEPING READINGS UNDER CRITICAL VALUES. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............63 75 78 77 RH..............62 38 33 33 20 FT WIND......S 8 S 12 S 12 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3300 4400 4900 4500 TRANSPORT WIND..170/18 170/21 180/21 180/20 DISPERSION......12 60 63 77 .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............MCLEAR PCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............71 63 59 57 54 53 RH..............47 67 78 90 100 100 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 7 S 8 S 9 S 7 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 15 15 15 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1700 200 600 700 1800 3100 TRANSPORT WIND..170/18 160/18 170/21 180/23 210/25 300/25 DISPERSION......41 5 19 21 28 11 .THURSDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............51 53 60 69 72 71 RH..............100 93 72 44 34 31 20 FT WIND......W 2 W 2 W 7 W 8 W 10 W 10 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1400 1800 4900 7000 8900 9200 TRANSPORT WIND..290/12 290/8 280/18 280/24 270/26 270/24 DISPERSION......5 4 12 114 137 127 $$ FORECASTER...UNGER REQUESTED BY...NIKKA JEFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121017.FAIRV.01/BMX