FNUS75 KBOU 181045 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FERN LAKE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 446 AM MDT THU OCT 18 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...IT WILL REMAIN DRY BOTH TODAY AND FRIDAY. WINDS WILL BE WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH TODAY BUT SHOULD NOT BE AS GUSTY ON FRIDAY. MINIMUM HUMIDITY WILL DROP DOWN TO 20% BOTH THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....45. MIN HUMIDITY........20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 16-26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 37-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....26. MAX HUMIDITY........49%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 32-40 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0500. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....54. MIN HUMIDITY........21%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 13-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 4000-5000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FERNLAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/18-04 12 0 0 22 51 W26 43 2 1 NW99 1473 W43 54918 F 10/18-05 12 0 0 23 46 W24 38 3 1 NW97 1537 W43 57342 F 10/18-06 11 0 0 23 43 W22 35 3 1 NW94 1601 W43 59766 F 10/18-07 11 0 0 22 44 W22 35 3 1 NW91 1538 W43 56782 F 10/18-08 11 0 0 22 45 W23 36 3 1 NW87 1475 W41 53798 F 10/18-09 11 0 0 24 42 W23 37 3 1 NW84 1412 W41 50814 F 10/18-10 11 0 0 28 37 W22 36 3 1 NW81 2236 NW43 84094 G 10/18-11 11 0 0 34 29 W21 33 2 1 NW77 3060 NW44 117373 V 10/18-12 12 0 0 41 24 W20 31 2 1 NW76 3884 NW45 150652 E 10/18-13 12 0 0 44 21 W20 31 2 1 NW76 4186 NW44 158367 E 10/18-14 12 0 0 44 20 W18 30 2 1 NW77 4488 NW43 166082 E 10/18-15 12 0 0 45 20 W18 30 2 1 NW77 4791 NW41 173798 E 10/18-16 12 0 0 44 20 W17 29 2 1 NW76 4252 NW41 152929 E 10/18-17 12 0 0 42 21 W17 26 2 1 NW75 3712 NW40 132060 V 10/18-18 12 0 0 39 24 W16 25 2 1 NW73 3173 NW40 111190 V 10/18-19 12 0 0 37 27 W16 25 2 1 NW68 2658 NW39 91138 G 10/18-20 12 0 0 34 30 W15 24 2 1 NW64 2143 NW38 71086 G 10/18-21 12 0 0 33 32 W15 24 2 1 NW61 1629 NW36 51033 F 10/18-22 12 0 0 32 35 W14 23 2 1 NW59 1334 NW33 40127 F 10/18-23 12 0 0 31 37 W13 21 2 1 NW56 1040 W31 29221 P 10/19-00 7 0 0 30 39 W13 21 2 1 NW55 746 W29 18314 P 10/19-01 7 0 0 29 41 W13 21 2 1 NW56 638 W26 14955 P 10/19-02 7 0 0 28 43 W14 22 3 1 NW56 529 W24 11595 P 10/19-03 7 0 0 28 44 W14 22 3 1 NW56 421 W23 8235 P 10/19-04 7 0 0 28 44 W14 22 3 1 NW54 372 W22 6995 P 10/19-05 7 0 0 29 43 W14 22 3 1 NW52 324 W20 5754 P 10/19-06 0 0 0 27 49 W14 22 3 1 NW48 275 W18 4514 P 10/19-07 0 0 0 28 48 W14 23 3 1 NW47 701 W22 15461 P 10/19-08 0 0 0 33 40 W15 23 3 1 NW46 1128 W24 26407 P 10/19-09 0 0 0 39 31 W15 24 3 1 NW45 1554 W28 37354 P 10/19-10 0 0 0 45 26 W15 24 3 1 NW41 2443 W29 61808 G 10/19-11 0 0 0 48 23 W16 25 3 1 NW39 3332 W29 86262 G 10/19-12 22 0 0 51 22 W16 25 3 1 NW37 4221 NW30 110716 V 10/19-13 22 0 0 52 21 W17 28 3 1 NW37 4568 W31 124813 V 10/19-14 22 0 0 53 21 W18 30 4 1 NW37 4915 W32 138910 V 10/19-15 22 0 0 54 21 W20 31 4 1 NW38 5262 W33 153007 E 10/19-16 22 0 0 53 21 W18 30 4 1 NW39 4954 W35 146603 V 10/19-17 22 0 0 51 22 W17 26 4 1 NW39 4645 W35 140199 V 10/19-18 22 0 0 49 24 W15 24 4 1 NW40 4337 W36 133795 V 10/19-19 22 0 0 45 27 W14 22 3 1 NW43 3431 W33 103130 V 10/19-20 22 0 0 42 29 W13 21 3 1 NW44 2526 W31 72464 G 10/19-21 22 0 0 41 29 W13 21 2 1 NW45 1621 W30 41799 F 10/19-22 22 0 0 39 30 W13 20 2 1 NW46 1266 W28 31433 P 10/19-23 22 0 0 38 30 W13 20 3 1 NW46 910 W24 21068 P 10/20-00 27 0 0 37 31 W13 21 3 1 NW46 555 W22 10703 P 10/20-01 27 0 0 36 32 W13 21 3 1 NW46 479 W21 8912 P 10/20-02 27 0 0 35 34 W13 21 2 1 NW46 404 W20 7121 P 10/20-03 27 0 0 34 36 W13 21 2 1 NW46 328 W18 5330 P 10/20-04 27 0 0 34 38 W13 20 2 1 NW44 306 W18 4793 P 10/20-05 27 0 0 33 41 W12 18 2 1 W43 284 W17 4256 P 10/20-06 23 0 0 33 43 W12 18 2 1 W43 262 W16 3720 P 10/20-07 23 0 0 34 43 W12 18 2 1 W43 879 W20 18826 P 10/20-08 23 0 0 37 38 W12 20 2 1 W44 1496 W23 33933 P 10/20-09 23 0 0 43 32 W13 21 2 1 W45 2114 W26 49039 F 10/20-10 23 0 0 48 27 W14 23 2 1 W45 3225 W29 84759 G 10/20-11 23 0 0 51 25 W16 25 2 1 W45 4336 W31 120479 V 10/20-12 7 0 0 53 23 W17 28 2 1 W46 5447 W33 156198 E 10/20-13 7 0 0 54 23 W18 29 2 1 W47 5619 W33 165628 E 10/20-14 7 0 0 55 23 W18 30 3 1 W49 5791 W35 175057 E 10/20-15 7 0 0 55 22 W18 30 3 1 W52 5964 W36 184486 E 10/20-16 7 0 0 54 23 W17 26 3 1 W54 5754 W35 174035 E 10/20-17 7 0 0 53 25 W15 23 2 1 W55 5544 W33 163583 E 10/20-18 4 0 0 51 27 W13 21 2 1 W56 5334 W33 153131 E 10/20-19 4 0 0 47 32 W12 12 2 1 W56 3853 W29 107182 V 10/20-20 4 0 0 44 36 W10 10 2 1 W55 2371 W24 61233 G 10/20-21 4 0 0 42 37 W10 10 2 1 W54 890 W20 15284 P 10/20-22 4 0 0 40 38 W10 10 2 1 W53 718 W20 12204 P 10/20-23 4 0 0 39 38 W12 12 2 1 W53 545 W20 9124 P 10/21-00 4 0 0 38 38 W12 18 2 1 W52 373 W18 6044 P 10/21-01 4 0 0 37 38 W12 12 2 1 W49 340 W18 5344 P 10/21-02 4 0 0 36 39 W12 12 3 1 W48 308 W17 4644 P 10/21-03 4 0 0 36 40 W12 18 3 1 W46 275 W16 3944 P 10/21-04 4 0 0 35 41 W13 20 3 1 SW44 259 W17 3899 P 10/21-05 4 0 0 35 41 W14 21 4 1 SW41 243 W18 3854 P 10/21-06 14 2 0 34 42 W14 22 4 1 SW39 228 W20 3809 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...NATE WILLIAMSON REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20121017.FERNL.01/BOU