FNUS72 KFFC 171135 FWSFFC SPOT FORECAST FOR POCKET...USDA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 735 AM EDT WED OCT 17 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON OCTOBER 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ACROSS THE REGION. A COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO NORTHWEST GEORGIA TONIGHT WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION FROM NORTHWEST GEORGIA INTO CENTRAL GEORGIA THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY. WHILE FUELS HAVE RECENTLY BEEN IN THE 7-9 PERCENT RANGE FOR MOST AREAS...RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WINDS SHOULD STAY OUTSIDE CRITICAL LEVELS. MOISTURE WILL ALSO BE ON THE RISE INTO THURSDAY. THEREFORE...NO CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. FOR APPROXIMATELY 7 MILES SE OF THE ARMUCHEE RAWS STATION...RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO REACH THEIR LOWEST LEVELS AT 36-38 PERCENT FROM 1500-1900 LOCAL TIME. SOUTHEAST WINDS TODAY SHOULD SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST BY THURSDAY MORNING AFTER 14Z AND SHOULD BE AROUND 5-7 MPH INITIALLY...THOUGH COULD HAVE SOME LOCALIZED UPSLOPE EFFECTS WITH THE TERRAIN WHICH COULD INCREASE THE WINDS SLIGHTLY. THE CHANCE FOR ANY SHOWERS WILL ENTER THE AREA AFTER 0200 LOCAL TIME... WITH THE BEST CHANCE OCCURING JUST BEFORE SUNRISE. WITH THE MOISTURE ADVECTING INTO THE AREA...THERE WILL LIKELY BE LOWERING OF CEILINGS AND NOT AS MUCH OF A FOG POTENTIAL. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 59. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........26 11 0 5 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............52 62 69 74 RH..............73 54 42 36 20 FT WIND......S 2 S 6 S 9 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 15 15 DISPERSION IDX..2 30 56 61 CWR.............0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 14 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....51 DECREASING TO 8 EARLY IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............2. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........11 16 16 45 79 79 WEATHER COV..... S CHC LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............73 64 62 59 56 55 RH..............37 49 55 61 68 73 20 FT WIND......S 8 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 7 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 10 DISPERSION IDX..49 9 10 5 6 7 LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 3 CWR.............0 10 10 20 60 60 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................80 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-3600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO 16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 36 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 53 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 44 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............3. $$ FORECASTER...BAKER REQUESTED BY...JEFFREY SCHARDT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121017.POCKE.01/FFC