FNUS75 KGJT 171340
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR VALLECITO...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
740 AM MDT WED OCT 17 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0712 MDT ON OCTOBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...THE NEW COOL AND DRY AIR MASS WILL POUR OVER THE
REGION THROUGH TODAY BRING BREEZY NW WINDS. AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL BE NEAR THE CRITICAL 15 PERCENT VALUE AND WINDS MAY
GUST AS HIGH AS 25 MPH FOR AN HOUR OR TWO. THE WINDS WILL QUICKLY
DIMINISH AS THE SUN SETS. CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW
SURFACE BASED INVERSIONS TO BECOME STRONG OVERNIGHT THAT WILL LAST
INTO MID MORNING THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE ADVANCES FROM THE WEST ON
THURSDAY BRINGING A STRONG SUBSIDENCE ALOFT SOMEWHERE AROUND
12,000 FEET MSL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-16%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO WEST WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 32 MPH DECREASING TO 22 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-32 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 1-6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS TO
                    15-20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...DURANGO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20121017.VALLE.01/GJT