FNUS73 KPAH 171407 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CROSSROADS PILES...USDA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 907 AM CDT WED OCT 17 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AT SPOT BURN IGNITION START TIME...WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTH...AVERAGING 10 TO 15 MPH...BUT GUSTS MAY EXCEED 20 MPH. WINDS WILL BE STRONG JUST OFF THE SURFACE TOO...AVERAGING 30 MPH OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST 1500 FEET ABOVE BURN SPOT GROUND LEVEL. OTHERWISE...FILTERED SUNSHINE THROUGH MID AND HIGH CLOUDS AT IGNITION WILL YIELD TO INCREASING AND THICKENING CLOUDS BY EVENING AS RAIN CHANCES SPIKE WITH A STORM FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 76. RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH...GUSTING TO 20 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 FOR THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC MC MC MC MC MC CDY WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW TEMP............71 73 74 74 75 75 73 70 RH..............45 44 42 42 40 42 46 51 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..12 13 13 14 14 13 13 12 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 30 30 30 30 30 30 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51. RH..................MAX 94 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. CWR.................77 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR WEATHER COV.....LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............65 60 58 56 54 53 RH..............62 82 93 93 88 80 20 FT WIND......S 11 S 10 SW 10 W 9 W 6 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 20 10 CWR.............80 80 70 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 2 2 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). RH..................MIN 24 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RH..............75 58 27 24 20 FT WIND......SW 5G10 SW 9G20 W 12G30 SW 12G30 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 5 6 6 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...FOREST SERVICE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121017.CROSS.01/PAH