FNUS72 KMLB 181402
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JDSP FIRE FEST PREP...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1002 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON OCTOBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA WILL
PROVIDE SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH ACROSS THE BURN SITE
INITIALLY INTO LATE MORNING. THEN INTO THE AFTERNOON A SEA BREEZE
SHOULD DEVELOP...BACKING WINDS TO THE SOUTHEAST. SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE WILL EXIST ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO INTO THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES SHOULD THEN DIMINISH INTO EARLY THIS
EVENING WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....35.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....            CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............82  85  87  87  87  87  86  84  84  82  81  80
RH..............69  65  60  59  59  59  62  66  67  69  72  73
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   8   8   9   9   8   8   7   7   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
LVORI...............5.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....40.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...WEITLICH
REQUESTED BY...ROB ROSSMANITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121018.JDSPF.02/MLB