FNUS72 KILM 221523 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR BOILING SPRINGS...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1123 AM EDT MON OCT 22 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON OCTOBER 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AT THE FIRE SITE...A VEERING WIND IS EXPECTED TODAY AS THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES JUST NORTH OF AREA. WINDS WILL CALM TOWARD SUNSET AS WINDS DECOUPLE AND THE DIURNAL INVERSION DEVELOPS. ASIDE FROM PASSING THIN HIGH CLOUDS THIS MORNING...FULL SUNSHINE IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH. MAX ADI.............33. MAX LVORI...........9. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1380-34500 MPH-FT). SURFACE WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............0 0 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................67 71 72 RH..................34 31 34 20 FT WIND..........NE 5 NE 5 E 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 SURFACE WIND........NE 6 NE 6 E 5 SURFACE WND GST.....10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........2400 3400 3900 TRANSPORT WIND......NE 12 NE 9 NE 8 LVORI...............1 1 2 ADI.................32 32 30 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...28 31 31 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. MAX ADI.............19. MAX LVORI...........10. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (0-14834 MPH-FT). SURFACE WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............0 0 2 3 5 6 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................68 58 54 51 49 48 RH..................45 72 88 97 100 100 20 FT WIND..........E 2 E 0 E 0 NE 0 N 0 N 0 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 SURFACE WIND........E 3 E 0 E 0 NE 0 N 0 N 0 SURFACE WND GST.....5 MIX HGT (FT)........2600 300 100 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......NE 6 E 5 E 5 E 3 E 2 NE 2 LVORI...............2 3 6 8 10 10 ADI.................19 2 2 2 1 1 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...15 1 0 1 1 1 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600-3300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX ADI.............23. MAX LVORI...........10. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (575-18860 MPH-FT). SURFACE WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............7 9 9 8 7 7 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................48 50 64 76 78 78 RH..................100 95 56 38 35 39 20 FT WIND..........N 0 N 0 NE 2 E 2 SE 2 SE 2 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 SURFACE WIND........N 0 N 0 NE 2 E 3 SE 3 SE 3 SURFACE WND GST..... 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........200 300 1000 2100 2900 3300 TRANSPORT WIND......NE 3 N 5 NE 6 NE 6 E 6 SE 6 LVORI...............10 6 3 2 2 2 ADI.................2 5 8 15 21 23 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...1 1 6 12 17 19 $$ FORECASTER...COLBY REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121022.BOILI.01/ILM