FNUS73 KABR 231441 FWSABR SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE EAGLE WUI...BIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD 941 AM CDT TUE OCT 23 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON OCTOBER 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... YOUR PRESCRIBED BURN SITE IS JUST ON THE EDGE OF A LOW STRATUS DECK OF CLOUDS. LIGHT TO MODERATE FOG AND DRIZZLE...AS YOU INDICATED IN YOUR BURN SITE OBSERVATION...IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE FOR A FEW MORE HOURS THIS MORNING UNTIL THAT FRONTAL BOUNDARY/WIND SHIFT ARRIVES AT THE BURN SITE TO SWITCH THIS MORNING LIGHT SOUTH WIND AROUND TO MORE OF THAT WEST-NORTHWEST WIND FOR THIS AFTERNOON. AS WE DISCUSSED THIS WIND SHIFT MAY SLOW DOWN JUST A BIT...PERHAPS NOT ACTUALLY REACHING THE BURN SITE UNTIL 2 PM OR 3 PM CDT. BUT THE BOTTOM LINE IS ONCE THE WIND SHIFT OCCURS...YOU CAN EXPECT BREEZY CONDITIONS FROM THE WEST TO WEST NORTHWEST WILL DEVELOP. REGIONAL RADARS ALSO INDICATE SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS ARE CONTINUING TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF SOUTH DAKOTA...LIFTING NORTH-NORTHEAST INTO NORTH DAKOTA. SO...IT IS ENTIRELY POSSIBLE THE BURN SITE COULD STILL SEE A COUPLE OF SHORT-LIVED PERIODS OF RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON AS WELL...EVEN THOUGH THE CURRENT FORECAST CALLS FOR ALL THAT ACTIVITY TO HAVE SHIFTED WELL NORTH INTO NORTH DAKOTA BY 3 PM CDT TODAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT CLOUD) UNTIL 1800...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT CLOUD). A CHANCE OF RAIN AND PATCHY DRIZZLE UNTIL 1300. MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64. MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 3000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 19 TO 24 MPH UNTIL 1300...THEN SOUTHWEST 11 TO 16 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....23700-33700. CWR.................ZERO. TIME (CDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........74 64 52 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RAIN NONE NONE TEMP............56 59 58 RH..............66 55 51 20 FT WIND......W 9 W 12 W 12 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT CLOUD) UNTIL 2100...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT CLOUD). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 0100...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN. MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43. MAX HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 19 MPH UNTIL 0100...THEN 7 TO 12 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....3600-5400. CWR.................30 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........42 51 58 70 83 90 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............53 48 44 43 42 41 RH..............56 63 70 72 73 74 20 FT WIND......NW 9 NW 7 NW 5 N 5 NW 3 NW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT CLOUD). RAIN LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48. MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 0900...THEN NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 3100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 11 TO 16 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....AROUND 17200 UNTIL 1300...THEN AROUND 42800. CWR.................70 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 94 90 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............40 40 41 43 45 45 RH..............75 74 68 59 55 55 20 FT WIND......NW 2 NW 5 NW 6 NW 8 NW 9 NW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 15 15 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...DORN REQUESTED BY...JEFF CASEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121023.LITTL.01/ABR