FNUS75 KPUB 240557
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WETMORE...PUEBLO COUNTY SHERIFF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1157 PM MDT TUE OCT 23 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT WEDNESDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM MDT WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

WIND GUSTS HAVE INCREASED WITHIN THE PAST COUPLE HOURS AT RED CREEK
RAWS...AND EXPECT GUSTS UP TO 50 TO 65 MPH TO CONTINUE THROUGH 0200.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AS A WIND SHIFT
BOUNDARY MOVES INTO THE BURN AREA AROUND 0200.  THIS MAY HELP TO
DECREASE SUSTAINED WINDS SOME...THOUGH THERE WILL STILL BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR ERRATIC WEST WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AT TIMES THROUGH
THE NIGHT.  HUMIDITY RECOVER WILL REMAIN POOR.  WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO INCREASE AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY FROM THE WEST AND GUST UP TO 50 TO
60 MPH BY AFTERNOON.

SOME OF THE NEW SHORT RANGE HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS ARE HINTING AT
THE POSSIBILITY THAT THE FRONT WHICH MOVES IN LATER TONIGHT MAY KEEP
WINDS FROM THE NORTHEAST ON THE LOWER PORTION OF THE BURN AREA
THROUGH THE MORNING...WHICH COULD LEAD TO LIGHTER WINDS AND HIGHER
HUMIDITIES DURING THE MORNING. HOWEVER WEST WINDS WILL STILL BE GUSTY
ON THE HIGHER ELEVATION PORTION OF THE BURN.  THESE TRENDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED AND FORECAST UPDATED AS NECESSARY.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50F.
MAX HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    65 MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN NORTHWEST 15-25 MPH WITH
                    OCCASIONAL ERRATIC GUSTS FROM THE WEST UP TO
                    50 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(31 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 15-30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
                    UNTIL 0900...THEN WEST SOUTHWEST 20 TO 40 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3500 FEET BY 1100...THEN 5500 FT AGL
                    BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 40 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...FAIR UNTIL 0900...EXCELLENT AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR A MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...TORGERSON
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO COUNTY SHERIFF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20121023.WETMO.04/PUB