FNUS75 KPUB 241523
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WETMORE...PUEBLO COUNTY SHERIFF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
923 AM MDT WED OCT 24 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COOL FRONT MOVED INTO THE BURN AREA EARLY THIS MORNING...BRINGING
LIGHT EASTERLY UPSLOPE WINDS...AND MUCH HIGHER HUMIDITIES...STILL ABOVE 50
PERCENT...TO THE FIRE AS OF 9 AM MDT.  THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR
A LITTLE WHILE LONGER THIS MORNING BUT...UNFORTUNATELY...THEY WILL START
TO WANE LATE THIS MORNING...AND GIVE WAY TO GUSTY...DRY SOUTHWESTERLY
DOWNSLOPE WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AND INTO THE EVENING.

THEN...BY LATE THIS EVENING...A SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD
MOVE IN FROM THE EAST...ACCOMPANIED BY A SHIFT TO EASTERLY WINDS...FALLING
TEMPERATURES...AND RISING HUMIDITIES.  THIS COLD FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL PUSH
INTO THE BURN SITE EVEN STRONGER ON THURSDAY...ACCOMPANIED BY MUCH COLDER
TEMPERATURES...MUCH HIGHER HUMIDITIES...LOW CLOUDS AND EVEN SOME LIGHT
SNOWFALL POSSIBLE BY LATER THURSDAY EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....REACHING 70-75F DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MIN HUMIDITY........LOWERING TO 5-10 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON.
20 FOOT WIND........EASTERLY 5-10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15-30 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 5000 FT AGL AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING VERY GOOD AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40
                    MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH
                    UNTIL 2400...THEN BECOMING EASTERLY 5-10 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH POSSIBLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 25 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42F.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EASTERLY 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    POSSIBLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO COUNTY SHERIFF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20121024.WETMO.02/PUB