FNUS75 KPUB 241927
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WETMORE...PUEBLO COUNTY SHERIFF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
127 PM MDT WED OCT 24 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COOL FRONT MOVED INTO THE BURN AREA THIS MORNING...BRINGING LIGHT
EASTERLY UPSLOPE WINDS...AND MUCH HIGHER HUMIDITIES TO THE FIRE...STILL
AT 45 PERCENT AS OF 1 PM MDT.  THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR
A BIT LONGER THIS AFTERNOON BUT HIGH RESOLUTION SHORT TERM MODELS STILL
INDICATE THE FLOW WILL TRANSITION OVER TO GUSTY...DRY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
BY AROUND 1500 LOCAL TIME AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING.

THEN...BY LATE THIS EVENING...A SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD
MOVE IN FROM THE EAST...ACCOMPANIED BY A SHIFT TO EASTERLY WINDS...FALLING
TEMPERATURES...AND RISING HUMIDITIES.  THIS COLD FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL PUSH
INTO THE BURN SITE EVEN STRONGER ON THURSDAY...ACCOMPANIED BY MUCH COLDER
TEMPERATURES...MUCH HIGHER HUMIDITIES...LOW CLOUDS AND EVEN SOME LIGHT
SNOWFALL POSSIBLE BY LATER THURSDAY EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15-30 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 50 MPH BY 1500 LOCAL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40
                    MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH
                    UNTIL 2400...THEN BECOMING EASTERLY 5-10 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH POSSIBLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 25 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42F.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EASTERLY 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    POSSIBLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO COUNTY SHERIFF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20121024.WETMO.04/PUB