FNUS71 KCTP 241242 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR RED RIDGE...PA BUREAU OF FORESTRY/DCNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 842 AM EDT WED OCT 24 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON OCTOBER 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA TODAY WILL PIVOT TO BECOME LOCATED NEARLY NORTH...SOUTH ACROSS THE SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY BY THURSDAY. SKIES WILL BE PARTLY SUNNY WITH A LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WIND DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3800-4700 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............100 95 92 89 86 84 WEATHER COV.........DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................55 55 58 62 65 65 RH..................96 97 91 81 72 72 20 FT WIND..........W 1 SW 1 W 2 W 3 W 5 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........2400 1700 1700 2200 3200 4300 TRANSPORT WIND......W 16 W 13 W 10 W 8 W 8 W 10 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 2 2 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. AREAS OF DRIZZLE AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 900-2500 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............83 82 80 79 77 73 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR DRZL DRZL TSTM COV............ TEMP................65 62 60 58 57 55 RH..................72 81 85 89 94 95 20 FT WIND..........S 2 S 2 S 2 S 3 S 5 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........4800 4800 4900 4500 3400 1600 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 12 SW 10 SW 12 W 12 W 10 S 12 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF DRIZZLE AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............68 66 65 65 65 65 65 65 68 68 68 68 WEATHER COV.........ARS ARS WEATHER TYPE........DZL DZL TSTM COV............ TEMP................54 54 53 55 56 58 60 62 64 65 65 66 RH..................96 96 97 93 90 87 82 78 73 72 71 69 20 FT WIND DIR......SE SE SE SE S S S S S S SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......3 3 3 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....13 13 13 12 12 10 12 12 13 13 14 15 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...LAMBERT/COLBERT REQUESTED BY...CRAIG ALDENDERFER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121025.REDRI.01/CTP