FNUS73 KPAH 251225 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CROSSROADS LADY BLOCK...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 725 AM CDT THU OCT 25 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0725 CDT ON OCTOBER 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WINDS WILL BE STRONG TODAY WITH NO PROBLEM EXPECTED WITH SMOKE DISPERSION. GUSTY WINDS WILL LIKELY BE THE LARGEST THREAT FOR CONTAINING ANY FIRES THAT GET GOING TODAY. MIXING DEPTHS WILL BE RELATIVELY DEEP BY MID DAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 81. RH..................80 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4200 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 30 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............62 61 65 69 73 75 78 79 79 79 78 74 RH..............80 78 70 63 55 52 48 47 45 45 47 55 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 8 9 10 10 10 10 9 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 20 20 20 25 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.7 1.5 2.3 3.2 3.8 4.2 3.9 3.3 2.5 1.7 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.0 0 0 0 8 16 24 26 28 29 29 30 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 23 TO 30 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............69 63 60 58 55 53 RH..............66 81 90 96 93 89 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 5 S 4 W 3 NW 5 NW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 BLW100 BLW100 300 600 1100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 30 S 30 SW 30 SW 29 W 26 NW 24 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 3 3 2 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58. RH..................MIN 58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CWR.................42 PERCENT INCREASING TO 73 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 22 TO 31 MPH INCREASING TO 32 TO 33 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............53 55 57 57 RH..............83 72 67 62 20 FT WIND......N 7G10 N 8G20 N 9G20 N 10G25 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 2300 2800 3000 TRANSPORT WIND..N 22 N 23 N 26 N 31 CWR.............40 40 70 70 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...HOOPER REQUESTED BY...DENNIS WILSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121025.CROSS.01/PAH