FNUS75 KGJT 291805
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFF PASS ADMIN PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1205 PM MDT MON OCT 29 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MDT ON OCTOBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A BROAD RIDGE OVER THE WEST TODAY WILL BEGIN TO
AMPLIFY LATE TUESDAY. THEREFORE A WEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE
OVER NORTHWEST COLORADO TODAY AND THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY. A
WEAK WAVE PASSING TO OUR NORTH TODAY WILL RESULT IN MAINLY HIGH
CLOUDS OVER NORTHWEST COLORADO...WHICH MAY LOWER FOR A TIME LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. GOOD TRANSPORT WINDS AND AMPLE DAYTIME HEATING
WILL ALLOW SMOKE DISPERSAL TO REACH INTO THE GOOD CATEGORIES BOTH
TODAY AND ON TUESDAY.

.TODAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). INITIALLY HIGH CLOUDS...
                    WITH CLOUDS LOWERING BY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....IMPROVING INTO THE GOOD CATEGORY DURING
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........DECREASING CLOUDS...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (30-40%) BY 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....22-27 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/
                    DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (17500-23600 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 1900.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 MPH...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    6 MPH BY 2000.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST. INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR...IMPROVING INTO
                    THE GOOD CATEGORY BETWEEN 1430 AND 1630.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL AROUND 1000...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...LANCE BROYLES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121029.BUFFP.01/GJT