FNUS72 KMFL 011154
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNO DUNES...PBI DERM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
754 AM EDT THU NOV 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON NOVEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT OVER NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL SLIDE
SOUTHEAST AND MOVE INTO THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
...MOVING FURTHER SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.
A SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL PULL SOME MOISTURE OVER THE
AREA...ESPECIALLY THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION...AND THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. CURRENTLY THERE ARE SOME SHOWERS OVER THE
TAMPA AREA THAT EXTEND WESTWARD INTO THE GULF AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

CURRENT CALM WINDS SHOULD BECOMES SOUTHWEST TO WEST AND ALL MODELS INDICATE
THE THE WESTERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL AND THAT THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL
BE CONFINED RIGHT AT THE COAST...IF IT DEVELOPS AT ALL. WITH THE FORECAST HIGH
OF 81 AT THE BURN SITE AND WITH THE CURRENT ATLANTIC WATERS JUST OFF OF THE
EAST COAST AROUND 80...A SEA BREEZE SHOULD NOT DEVELOP.

AT THIS TIME...NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED HAS A STABLE LAYER TO PREVENT
DEEP CONVECTION.

IF ANY RAINFALL OCCURS...THERE COULD BE SOME FOG DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT. IF NOT
...JUST GOOD RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY WITH HEAVY DEW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 45 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....28 INCREASING TO 52.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........14     14     30     30     30     43
WEATHER COV.....              ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............74     79     81     79     74     71
RH..............55     47     44     49     58     66
20 FT WIND......W 6    W 6    W 6    W 8    W 8    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3300   3300   3500   3400   3400   2100
MIXNG WIND......W 13   W 13   W 13   W 15   W 15   W 13
DISPERSION IDX..43     43     42     52     52     12
LVORI...........1      1      1      1      1      3
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 88 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 45 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....31 INCREASING TO 39 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ROTHFUSS
REQUESTED BY...KRAIG KRUMM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121031.UPWAG.01/MFL