FNUS75 KCYS 312038
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR BALD MTN  RX...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
238 PM MDT WED OCT 31 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON NOVEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE BURN AREA THROUGH FRIDAY.  WINDS
WILL INCREASE THURSDAY MORNING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE
ACROSS EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.  SOUTHWEST WINDS THURSDAY AFTERNOON WILL
TURN GRADUALLY OUT OF THE WEST-NORTHWEST THURSDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE
ON FRIDAY.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO
                    17 TO 22 WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH BY NOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (37100-176700 KNOT-FT).

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH AND GUSTY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR BY 10 PM (88800-5100 KNOT-FT).

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (33300-134700 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...EMANUEL
REQUESTED BY...JEROD R  DELAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121101.BALDM.02/CYS