FNUS75 KCYS 011626
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR BALD MTN RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1026 AM MDT THU NOV 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1025 MDT ON NOVEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK SHORTWAVE ALOFT WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS
NORTHERN WYOMING THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE MOVING SOUTHEAST TO NEAR TORRINGTON. SURFACE AND LOW
LEVEL WINDS WILL VEER TO WEST THIS AFTERNOON AND INCREASE IN THE
BURN LOCATION WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE ALOFT
WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN WYOMING TONIGHT...SENDING A WEAK DRY COLD
FRONT SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE BURN AREA...WITH WINDS VEERING TO
WEST OR NORTHWEST AND GUSTS TO 25 MPH OVER THE BURN AREA. AFTER
THE SHORTWAVE ALOFT PASSES WYOMING ON FRIDAY...BURN AREA WINDS
WILL BE FROM THE WEST IN THE MORNING AND NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON
WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 17 TO 27 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35
                    MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 27 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (55100-145400 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
MAX HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (4900-66300 KNOT-FT).

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 23 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (59300-131700 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...RUBIN
REQUESTED BY...BRANDON BONENBERGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121101.BALDM.03/CYS