FNUS73 KDMX 010126 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR GOOSE LAKE WEST UNIT...IOWA DNR-USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 826 PM CDT WED OCT 31 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON NOVEMBER 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE STATE DURING THE MORNING HOURS THURSDAY AND BRING GUSTY NORTH WINDS THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SOME HIGH CLOUDS MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT...BUT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 48. RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 1300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTH 13 TO 22 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2800-51700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR TO EXCELLENT (17700-64100 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........25 21 21 20 19 18 17 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............44 46 48 48 48 46 42 RH..............60 55 49 47 47 49 55 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NW NW N N 20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 12 10 9 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N NW NW N N EYE LVL WND SPD.9 9 9 9 7 6 5 EYE LVL WND GST.15 15 15 15 15 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 2.4 1.3 MIXNG WIND DIR..N N N N NW N N MIXNG WIND SPD..22 22 22 21 20 17 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 29. RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 TO 13 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1100-6800 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........16 21 27 32 39 49 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............39 35 32 31 30 29 RH..............59 66 75 75 78 78 20 FT WIND......N 6 N 6 NE 6 NE 6 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST. EYE LEVEL WIND..N 4 N 4 NE 4 NE 4 E 4 E 4 EYE LVL WND GST. MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 300 300 500 800 MIXNG WIND......N 13 N 8 N 6 N 6 NE 5 E 6 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 5 5 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 47. RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........EAST 8 TO 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (9900-22300 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........56 61 65 74 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............31 36 43 47 RH..............72 64 53 45 20 FT WIND......E 7 SE 10G15 SE 12G15 SE 12G15 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 5 SE 7G15 SE 9G15 SE 9G15 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1900 2700 2800 MIXNG WIND......E 9 SE 10 SE 8 E 9 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...PODRAZIK REQUESTED BY...DAVE WHITE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121101.GOOSE.01/DMX