FNUS75 KGJT 020628
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR VALLECITO...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1228 AM MDT FRI NOV 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1859 MDT ON NOVEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHWEST
COLORADO TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH ANOTHER WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE
PASSING ON SATURDAY. NEITHER WILL PRODUCE ANY PRECIPITATION...AND
THE AIR NEAR THE SURFACE WILL REMAIN DRY. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
STABILIZE QUICKLY THIS EVENING AS SHADOWS OVERTAKE THE SLOPES WITH
SUNSET. EXPECT SMOKE TO DRAIN INTO VALLEYS AGAIN TONIGHT...AND
WILL LIKELY BE A CONTINUING PROBLEM AT NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 1-3 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 MPH BY 1200. AFTER
                    1300...SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR BECOMING GOOD BY 1400.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 5500 FT AGL BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLY 2-4 MPH BECOMING WEST SOUTHWEST
                    13 MPH AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........31-36%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL BY 2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 1-3 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 MPH BY 1200. AFTER
                    1300...SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR BECOMING BRIEFLY GOOD
                    AROUND 1500.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN INCREASING TO
                    7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLY 2-4 MPH BECOMING WEST 10 MPH
                    AFTER 1200.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...KELLY CORNWALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20121101.VALLE.02/GJT