FNUS75 KBOU 031146 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FERN LAKE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 543 AM MDT SAT NOV 3 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1639 MDT ON NOVEMBER 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE FIRE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL LEAD TO RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS TODAY WITH A BIT MORE WIND LATER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MIN HUMIDITY........25%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 8-9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 1300-1800 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 4400 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 6900 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 8600-9600 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 5800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 20-25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28. MAX HUMIDITY........51%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MIN HUMIDITY........27%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 5100-6100 FT AGL AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20-25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FERN LAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/03-05 25 0 0 24 69 W 6 6 4 1 WNW 30 414 W 9 3073 P 11/03-06 35 0 0 26 63 W 7 7 4 1 WNW 30 362 W 10 3157 P 11/03-07 35 0 0 27 59 W 8 8 4 1 WNW 30 845 W 12 10121 P 11/03-08 35 0 0 29 53 W 8 13 3 1 WNW 29 1328 W 14 17085 P 11/03-09 35 0 0 33 45 W 8 13 3 1 WNW 28 1812 W 15 24048 P 11/03-10 35 0 0 38 38 W 8 13 3 1 WNW 26 4363 W 18 85349 G 11/03-11 35 0 0 43 33 W 8 13 3 1 WNW 26 6915 WNW 22146649 V 11/03-12 40 0 0 47 29 W 8 13 3 1 WNW 26 9467 WNW 25207949 E 11/03-13 40 0 0 49 26 W 9 14 3 1 WNW 28 9690 WNW 24206312 E 11/03-14 40 0 0 49 25 W 10 16 3 1 WNW 29 9912 WNW 24204674 E 11/03-15 40 0 0 47 26 W 10 16 3 1 WNW 31 10134 WNW 23203036 E 11/03-16 40 0 0 44 30 W 9 15 3 1 WNW 31 7960 WNW 22154267 E 11/03-17 40 0 0 41 34 W 9 14 4 1 NW 31 5786 WNW 20105498 V 11/03-18 23 0 0 37 40 W 8 13 4 1 NW 30 3612 WNW 18 56729 F 11/03-19 23 0 0 34 43 W 9 14 4 1 NW 31 2576 WNW 16 39571 P 11/03-20 23 0 0 31 46 W 9 15 4 1 NW 33 1541 W 14 22412 P 11/03-21 23 0 0 30 47 W 10 16 4 1 NW 35 506 W 12 5254 P 11/03-22 23 0 0 30 48 W 10 16 3 1 NW 35 453 W 13 4900 P 11/03-23 23 0 0 30 50 W 9 15 3 1 NW 35 401 W 13 4545 P 11/04-00 24 0 0 30 51 W 9 15 2 1 NW 35 349 W 14 4191 P 11/04-01 24 0 0 30 50 W 10 16 2 1 NW 35 404 W 15 5238 P 11/04-02 24 0 0 29 50 W 10 17 2 1 NW 33 459 W 16 6285 P 11/04-03 24 0 0 29 49 W 12 18 2 1 NW 33 514 W 16 7333 P 11/04-04 24 0 0 28 49 W 12 18 2 1 NW 33 511 W 17 7493 P 11/04-05 24 0 0 28 48 W 12 18 2 1 NW 35 507 W 17 7654 P 11/04-06 35 0 0 28 48 W 12 18 2 1 NW 35 504 W 18 7815 P 11/04-07 35 0 0 29 47 W 12 20 2 1 NNW 35 1025 W 20 17979 P 11/04-08 35 0 0 31 45 W 13 21 2 1 NNW 35 1546 WNW 21 28144 P 11/04-09 35 0 0 35 40 W 14 22 2 1 NNW 33 2067 WNW 22 38308 P 11/04-10 35 0 0 39 34 W 13 21 2 1 NNW 33 3750 WNW 22 72656 G 11/04-11 35 0 0 43 30 W 13 20 2 1 NNW 35 5433 NW 22107004 V 11/04-12 59 0 0 46 27 W 12 18 2 1 NNW 36 7115 NW 23141352 V 11/04-13 59 0 0 46 27 W 12 18 2 1 NNW 36 6793 NW 22131448 V 11/04-14 59 0 0 46 28 W 13 20 2 1 NNW 37 6471 WNW 22121544 V 11/04-15 59 0 0 45 29 W 13 21 2 1 NNW 37 6148 WNW 21111640 V 11/04-16 59 0 0 42 33 W 12 20 2 1 NNW 38 5262 WNW 21 94977 G 11/04-17 59 0 0 39 37 W 12 17 2 1 NNW 40 4375 WNW 21 78313 G 11/04-18 53 3 1 37 40 W 10 16 2 1 NW 40 3489 WNW 21 61650 G 11/04-19 53 3 1 34 46 W 10 17 2 1 NNW 38 2494 WNW 20 43721 F 11/04-20 53 3 1 32 51 W 12 17 2 1 NNW 36 1499 WNW 18 25791 P 11/04-21 53 3 1 30 57 W 12 18 2 1 NNW 33 504 W 18 7862 P 11/04-22 53 3 1 29 60 W 12 18 2 1 NNW 31 504 W 18 8025 P 11/04-23 53 3 1 29 62 W 12 18 2 1 NW 30 505 W 18 8188 P 11/05-00 53 3 1 29 63 W 12 18 2 1 NW 31 506 W 18 8351 P 11/05-01 53 3 1 28 67 W 12 20 2 1 NW 33 473 W 20 7882 P 11/05-02 53 3 1 28 68 W 13 20 2 1 NW 36 440 W 20 7413 P 11/05-03 53 3 1 27 72 W 13 21 2 1 NNW 39 406 W 20 6944 P 11/05-04 53 3 1 27 73 W 13 20 2 1 NNW 40 425 W 20 7344 P 11/05-05 53 3 1 27 74 W 12 18 2 1 NNW 41 443 W 20 7745 P 11/05-06 30 0 0 27 75 W 12 18 2 1 N 43 462 W 21 8145 P 11/05-07 30 0 0 27 76 W 12 18 2 1 N 43 767 W 21 14107 P 11/05-08 30 0 0 29 71 W 13 20 2 1 N 43 1073 WNW 21 20069 P 11/05-09 30 0 0 32 64 W 13 21 2 1 N 43 1378 WNW 22 26031 P 11/05-10 30 0 0 37 53 W 13 21 2 1 N 41 2665 WNW 22 48488 F 11/05-11 30 0 0 42 44 W 13 21 2 1 NNW 40 3951 WNW 21 70946 G 11/05-12 21 0 0 46 38 W 13 21 2 1 NNW 39 5237 NW 21 93404 G 11/05-13 21 0 0 47 37 W 13 21 2 1 NNW 36 5088 NW 20 87676 G 11/05-14 21 0 0 47 37 WNW 13 21 2 1 NNW 31 4939 WNW 20 81948 G 11/05-15 21 0 0 46 38 WNW 13 21 2 1 NNW 30 4791 WNW 18 76221 G 11/05-16 21 0 0 44 40 WNW 13 20 2 1 NNW 31 3961 WNW 20 65270 G 11/05-17 21 0 0 40 46 W 12 20 3 1 NNW 35 3132 WNW 21 54319 F 11/05-18 20 0 0 37 52 W 12 18 3 1 NNW 37 2303 WNW 22 43368 F 11/05-19 20 0 0 35 57 W 12 18 3 1 NNW 35 1677 W 22 31485 P 11/05-20 20 0 0 33 63 W 12 18 3 1 NW 31 1052 W 21 19602 P 11/05-21 20 0 0 31 69 W 12 20 3 1 NW 28 426 W 21 7719 P 11/05-22 20 0 0 31 70 W 13 20 3 1 NW 26 455 W 22 8618 P 11/05-23 20 0 0 31 71 W 13 20 3 1 NW 28 484 W 23 9518 P 11/06-00 16 1 0 31 72 W 13 21 3 1 NW 28 513 W 23 10418 P 11/06-01 16 1 0 32 69 W 13 20 3 1 NW 30 538 W 23 10628 P 11/06-02 16 1 0 32 68 W 13 20 2 1 NW 31 563 W 22 10838 P 11/06-03 16 1 0 31 69 W 12 18 2 1 NW 33 588 W 22 11048 P 11/06-04 16 1 0 31 68 W 12 18 2 1 NW 33 636 W 22 11847 P 11/06-05 16 1 0 31 67 W 10 17 2 1 NW 33 685 W 21 12645 P 11/06-06 14 0 0 31 66 W 10 16 2 1 NW 33 733 W 21 13444 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...NATE WILLIAMSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20121102.FERNL.01/BOU