FNUS75 KRIW 012208
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR FALLS CREEK...USFS SHF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
408 PM MDT THU NOV 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON NOVEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT TONIGHT
BUT THEY WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH ON FRIDAY. A FEW LINGERING FLURRIES MAY
REMAIN INTO FRIDAY MORNING OTHERWISE EXPECT A MUCH COOLER DAY COMPARED
TO TODAY.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...SKRBAC

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW
                    SHOWERS. LITTLE ACCUMULATION EXPECTED.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-85 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH...TURNING MORE NORTHWEST AS THE EVENING WEARS
                    ON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 22 TO 28 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING...THE DECREASING TO
                    1500-2000 FEET AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (79300-87600 KNOT-FT)...BECOMING FAIR
                    (40000-45000 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SNOW
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-39.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-51 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8-11 MPH GUSTS UP TO
                    15 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (53100-59900 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...SKRBAC
REQUESTED BY...CDC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121102.FALLS.01/RIW