FNUS75 KBOU 051304 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FERN LAKE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 604 AM MST MON NOV 5 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1840 MST ON NOVEMBER 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE RELATIVELY MILD WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTY WEST WINDS TO BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH. TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE SIMILAR TO THOSE OBSERVED YESTERDAY... BUT THEN LOWER ON TUESDAY AS TEMPERATURES WARM A FEW MORE DEGREES. GENERALLY WARM AND DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK BEFORE THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE STATE THIS WEEKEND BRINGING COLDER TEMPERATURES AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ON FRIDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MIN HUMIDITY........36-40%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN INCREASING TO 4700-5700 FT AGL AFTER 1300. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20-25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600... THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32. MAX HUMIDITY........61%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15-17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2700 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...DECREASING TO BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1800...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MIN HUMIDITY........27%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE MORNING THEN 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0600...THEN 1000-1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 4000-5000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 6000-7000 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 4100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20-30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-18 MPH. .SATURDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. .VETERANS DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FERN LAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/05-05 48 0 0 29 81 W 16 24 2 1 NNW 51 598 WNW 18 9650 P 11/05-06 48 0 0 31 75 W 16 25 2 1 NNW 51 930 WNW 20 16051 P 11/05-07 48 0 0 30 78 W 16 24 2 1 NNW 52 1261 WNW 20 22451 P 11/05-08 45 0 0 32 72 W 16 24 2 1 N 53 1593 WNW 21 28852 P 11/05-09 45 0 0 34 66 W 16 24 2 1 NNW 53 2009 WNW 21 36620 P 11/05-10 45 0 0 37 59 W 16 24 2 1 NNW 53 2424 WNW 21 44389 F 11/05-11 30 0 0 39 55 W 16 24 2 1 NNW 52 2840 WNW 21 52157 F 11/05-12 30 0 0 46 42 W 16 24 2 1 NNW 51 4037 NW 22 79084 G 11/05-13 30 0 0 46 43 W 16 24 2 1 NNW 48 5233 NW 23 106012 V 11/05-14 30 0 0 48 40 W 16 24 2 1 NNW 46 6429 NW 24 132940 V 11/05-15 30 0 0 46 44 W 16 24 2 1 NNW 44 5196 NW 23 104385 V 11/05-16 30 0 0 45 46 W 16 24 2 1 NNW 41 3963 WNW 21 75830 G 11/05-17 21 0 0 41 53 W 16 24 2 1 NNW 40 2729 WNW 20 47275 F 11/05-18 21 0 0 38 58 W 16 24 2 1 NNW 40 2142 WNW 20 37051 P 11/05-19 21 0 0 36 61 W 16 24 2 1 NNW 41 1555 W 20 26826 P 11/05-20 21 0 0 35 61 W 16 24 2 1 NNW 41 967 W 20 16602 P 11/05-21 21 0 0 35 59 W 16 24 2 1 NNW 40 962 W 20 16803 P 11/05-22 21 0 0 36 55 W 17 25 2 1 NNW 38 956 W 21 17003 P 11/05-23 13 0 0 35 56 W 17 25 2 1 NNW 37 950 W 21 17204 P 11/06-00 13 0 0 35 55 W 17 26 2 1 NNW 38 911 W 21 16381 P 11/06-01 13 0 0 35 55 W 18 26 2 1 NW 39 872 W 21 15559 P 11/06-02 13 0 0 34 56 W 18 28 2 1 NW 40 834 W 21 14736 P 11/06-03 13 0 0 32 60 W 18 28 2 1 NW 40 780 W 22 14341 P 11/06-04 13 0 0 33 57 W 18 26 2 1 NW 41 725 W 22 13946 P 11/06-05 18 0 0 33 56 W 17 28 2 1 NW 41 671 W 23 13551 P 11/06-06 18 0 0 34 54 W 16 25 2 1 NW 43 956 W 22 17982 P 11/06-07 18 0 0 36 50 W 15 24 2 1 NW 44 1240 W 21 22412 P 11/06-08 18 0 0 37 48 W 14 22 2 1 NW 45 1525 W 21 26843 P 11/06-09 18 0 0 42 39 W 13 20 2 1 NW 46 3460 WNW 23 77051 G 11/06-10 18 0 0 48 31 W 12 17 2 1 NW 47 5395 WNW 25 127260 V 11/06-11 14 0 0 52 27 W 10 16 2 1 NW 48 7330 NW 28 177468 E 11/06-12 14 0 0 52 27 W 10 17 2 1 NW 49 7310 NW 28 174078 E 11/06-13 14 0 0 52 27 W 12 17 2 1 NNW 49 7291 NW 26 170688 E 11/06-14 14 0 0 52 27 W 12 18 2 1 NNW 51 7271 NW 26 167298 E 11/06-15 14 0 0 50 29 W 12 18 2 1 NNW 52 5709 WNW 24 126080 V 11/06-16 14 0 0 46 34 W 10 17 2 1 NNW 53 4147 WNW 22 84861 G 11/06-17 8 0 0 42 39 W 10 16 2 1 NNW 53 2584 WNW 20 43643 F 11/06-18 8 0 0 39 44 W 10 17 3 1 NNW 49 1877 W 18 31511 P 11/06-19 8 0 0 36 49 W 12 17 3 1 NNW 46 1169 W 18 19379 P 11/06-20 8 0 0 35 50 W 12 18 4 1 NNW 43 461 W 18 7247 P 11/06-21 8 0 0 34 51 W 12 18 4 1 NW 40 438 W 18 7012 P 11/06-22 8 0 0 33 52 W 12 18 5 1 NW 38 416 W 18 6777 P 11/06-23 8 0 0 33 51 W 12 18 5 1 NW 37 393 W 20 6541 P 11/07-00 8 0 0 33 50 W 13 20 5 1 NW 36 382 W 20 6597 P 11/07-01 8 0 0 33 50 W 13 21 5 1 WNW 36 371 W 21 6652 P 11/07-02 8 0 0 33 49 W 14 22 5 1 WNW 36 360 W 22 6707 P 11/07-03 8 0 0 33 48 W 14 22 5 1 WNW 35 372 W 24 7730 P 11/07-04 8 0 0 33 47 W 14 22 5 1 WNW 33 383 W 26 8753 P 11/07-05 6 0 0 33 47 W 14 22 5 1 WNW 33 395 W 29 9775 P 11/07-06 6 0 0 34 45 W 15 24 5 1 WNW 35 695 W 31 20072 P 11/07-07 6 0 0 36 42 W 16 26 5 1 W 36 995 W 33 30368 P 11/07-08 6 0 0 40 36 W 17 28 5 1 W 38 1295 W 36 40664 F 11/07-09 6 0 0 45 30 W 17 26 5 1 W 38 3169 W 37 101589 V 11/07-10 6 0 0 51 24 W 16 25 5 1 W 39 5043 W 37 162513 E 11/07-11 9 0 0 55 21 W 15 24 5 1 W 40 6917 W 37 223437 E 11/07-12 9 0 0 55 21 W 15 24 5 1 W 41 7265 W 36 224500 E 11/07-13 9 0 0 55 21 W 16 25 5 1 W 43 7613 W 35 225563 E 11/07-14 9 0 0 55 21 W 16 25 5 1 W 43 7961 W 32 226626 E 11/07-15 9 0 0 55 21 W 16 25 4 1 W 43 6902 W 32 192599 E 11/07-16 9 0 0 51 25 W 15 24 3 1 W 40 5843 W 31 158572 E 11/07-17 9 0 0 47 29 W 14 22 2 1 W 39 4784 W 30 124545 V 11/07-18 9 0 0 43 33 W 13 21 2 1 W 37 3409 W 26 86982 G 11/07-19 9 0 0 40 36 W 13 20 2 1 W 33 2034 W 24 49418 F 11/07-20 9 0 0 37 40 W 13 20 2 1 W 32 659 W 21 11855 P 11/07-21 9 0 0 36 41 WSW 12 20 3 1 W 31 564 W 21 10088 P 11/07-22 9 0 0 35 42 WSW 12 18 3 1 W 30 469 W 21 8322 P 11/07-23 12 0 0 35 42 WSW 12 18 4 1 W 30 374 W 21 6555 P 11/08-00 12 0 0 34 43 WSW 12 18 4 1 W 30 392 W 21 6980 P 11/08-01 12 0 0 34 43 WSW 12 18 4 1 W 29 410 W 21 7405 P 11/08-02 12 0 0 33 44 WSW 12 18 4 1 W 29 428 W 21 7829 P 11/08-03 12 0 0 33 44 WSW 12 18 4 1 W 28 417 W 21 7602 P 11/08-04 12 0 0 32 46 WSW 12 18 3 1 W 28 405 W 21 7374 P 11/08-05 16 0 0 32 47 WSW 12 18 3 1 WSW 28 394 W 21 7147 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH REQUESTED BY...NATE WILLIAMSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20121104.FERNL.01/BOU