FNUS75 KBOU 060114 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FERN LAKE...ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATL PARK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 614 PM MST MON NOV 5 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1755 MST ON NOVEMBER 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL MOVE IN BY THURSDAY IN ADVANCE OF A LARGE UPPER TROUGH EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....30 TO 35. MAX HUMIDITY........60-70%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0400...THEN 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....50 TO 55. MIN HUMIDITY........25-35%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE MORNING THEN 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 5400-6400 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 3600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20-30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 9-12 MPH. .SATURDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-15 MPH. .VETERANS DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 6. HIGHS AROUND 30. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FERN LAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/05-18 43 0 0 37 56 W 13 21 2 1 NNW 47 1880 WNW 25 41358 F 11/05-19 43 0 0 35 61 W 14 22 2 1 NNW 45 1411 WNW 24 30328 P 11/05-20 43 0 0 34 64 W 14 22 2 1 NNW 44 942 WNW 23 19298 P 11/05-21 43 0 0 34 61 W 13 21 2 1 NNW 41 936 WNW 23 18515 P 11/05-22 43 0 0 34 61 W 13 21 3 1 NNW 38 930 W 22 17733 P 11/05-23 31 0 0 34 58 W 12 18 3 1 NNW 37 924 W 21 16950 P 11/06-00 31 0 0 34 58 W 12 18 3 1 NNW 38 900 W 21 16398 P 11/06-01 31 0 0 34 56 W 13 21 2 1 NW 40 877 W 21 15845 P 11/06-02 31 0 0 34 56 W 13 21 2 1 NW 43 853 W 21 15293 P 11/06-03 31 0 0 33 58 W 12 18 2 1 NW 45 918 W 21 16966 P 11/06-04 31 0 0 34 54 W 12 18 2 1 NW 47 984 W 22 18639 P 11/06-05 18 0 0 35 52 W 10 16 2 1 NW 48 1049 W 22 20312 P 11/06-06 18 0 0 37 48 W 12 18 2 1 NW 47 1409 W 24 31207 P 11/06-07 18 0 0 36 50 W 13 21 2 1 NNW 45 1769 W 26 42102 F 11/06-08 18 0 0 38 46 W 13 21 2 1 NNW 41 2129 W 29 52997 F 11/06-09 18 0 0 40 42 W 12 18 2 1 NNW 39 2919 WNW 28 66482 G 11/06-10 18 0 0 43 38 W 10 16 2 1 NW 38 3710 WNW 25 79966 G 11/06-11 13 0 0 31 61 W 9 9 2 1 NW 38 4501 NW 24 93451 G 11/06-12 13 0 0 50 29 W 9 9 2 1 NW 40 5264 NW 25116108 V 11/06-13 13 0 0 51 28 W 10 16 2 1 NNW 44 6027 NW 26138766 V 11/06-14 13 0 0 51 28 W 12 18 2 1 NNW 46 6790 NW 28161423 E 11/06-15 13 0 0 31 61 W 10 16 2 1 NNW 45 5215 WNW 24119005 V 11/06-16 13 0 0 46 34 W 10 16 2 1 NNW 44 3640 WNW 22 76587 G 11/06-17 8 0 0 41 41 W 9 15 2 1 NNW 41 2065 WNW 20 34169 P 11/06-18 8 0 0 38 45 W 10 16 2 1 NNW 40 1517 W 18 24867 P 11/06-19 8 0 0 35 50 W 12 17 3 1 NNW 39 970 W 18 15565 P 11/06-20 8 0 0 34 52 W 12 18 4 1 NNW 37 422 W 17 6263 P 11/06-21 8 0 0 34 51 W 12 18 4 1 NNW 36 418 W 17 6174 P 11/06-22 8 0 0 34 50 W 12 18 5 1 NW 35 413 W 17 6084 P 11/06-23 8 0 0 34 49 W 12 18 5 1 NW 33 409 W 17 5995 P 11/07-00 8 0 0 34 49 W 13 20 5 1 NW 31 396 W 17 6085 P 11/07-01 8 0 0 33 50 W 13 21 5 1 NW 30 383 W 18 6175 P 11/07-02 8 0 0 33 49 W 14 22 5 1 WNW 28 370 W 20 6266 P 11/07-03 8 0 0 32 50 W 14 22 5 1 WNW 28 363 W 21 6564 P 11/07-04 8 0 0 32 50 W 14 22 5 1 WNW 29 356 W 22 6862 P 11/07-05 6 0 0 33 47 W 14 22 5 1 WNW 30 348 W 24 7160 P 11/07-06 6 0 0 34 45 W 15 24 5 1 W 30 579 W 25 13255 P 11/07-07 6 0 0 37 40 W 16 26 5 1 W 30 810 W 26 19350 P 11/07-08 6 0 0 41 34 W 17 28 5 1 W 31 1040 W 28 25445 P 11/07-09 6 0 0 46 29 W 17 26 5 1 W 32 2541 W 31 76463 G 11/07-10 6 0 0 51 24 W 16 25 5 1 W 35 4041 W 35127480 V 11/07-11 9 0 0 54 22 W 15 24 5 1 W 36 5542 W 37178498 E 11/07-12 9 0 0 57 20 W 15 24 5 1 W 35 6473 W 36202428 E 11/07-13 9 0 0 57 20 W 16 25 5 1 W 33 7404 W 36226359 E 11/07-14 9 0 0 56 20 W 16 25 5 1 W 33 8335 W 35250289 E 11/07-15 9 0 0 52 24 W 16 25 4 1 W 35 6641 W 33194807 E 11/07-16 9 0 0 48 28 W 15 23 4 1 W 36 4948 W 31139326 V 11/07-17 9 0 0 44 32 W 14 22 3 1 W 36 3254 W 30 83844 G 11/07-18 9 0 0 40 37 W 14 21 3 1 W 33 2319 W 26 58616 F 11/07-19 9 0 0 37 41 W 13 21 4 1 W 31 1384 W 24 33388 P 11/07-20 9 0 0 35 43 W 13 21 4 1 W 29 450 W 21 8160 P 11/07-21 9 0 0 34 44 WSW 13 20 4 1 W 26 451 W 21 8246 P 11/07-22 9 0 0 34 44 WSW 12 20 4 1 W 26 452 W 21 8331 P 11/07-23 12 0 0 34 43 WSW 12 18 4 1 W 25 453 W 22 8416 P 11/08-00 12 0 0 33 45 WSW 12 18 4 1 W 25 429 W 21 7894 P 11/08-01 12 0 0 33 45 WSW 12 18 4 1 W 24 405 W 21 7372 P 11/08-02 12 0 0 32 47 WSW 12 18 4 1 W 24 381 W 21 6850 P 11/08-03 12 0 0 32 47 WSW 12 18 4 1 WSW 25 368 W 18 5934 P 11/08-04 12 0 0 31 49 WSW 12 18 3 1 WSW 26 355 W 16 5018 P 11/08-05 16 0 0 31 49 WSW 12 18 3 1 WSW 29 342 WSW 14 4102 P 11/08-06 16 0 0 32 47 WSW 12 18 3 1 WSW 30 411 WSW 14 4717 P 11/08-07 16 0 0 34 44 WSW 12 18 3 1 WSW 32 480 WSW 13 5332 P 11/08-08 16 0 0 37 40 WSW 12 18 3 1 WSW 35 549 WSW 13 5947 P 11/08-09 16 0 0 43 33 WSW 12 18 3 1 WSW 38 4069 WSW 18103538 V 11/08-10 16 0 0 48 28 WSW 12 18 3 1 WSW 41 7590 WSW 25201130 E 11/08-11 25 0 0 53 24 SW 9 15 3 1 WSW 44 11110 WSW 31298722 E 11/08-12 25 0 0 56 22 SW 9 15 3 1 WSW 47 11273 WSW 33323791 E 11/08-13 25 0 0 55 23 SW 9 15 3 1 WSW 49 11436 WSW 35348859 E 11/08-14 25 0 0 54 24 SW 9 15 3 1 WSW 51 11598 WSW 37373928 E 11/08-15 25 0 0 51 27 SW 9 15 3 1 WSW 51 9118 WSW 37293885 E 11/08-16 25 0 0 47 31 SW 9 15 3 1 W 49 6637 WSW 37213841 E 11/08-17 25 0 0 44 35 SW 10 16 3 1 W 47 4157 WSW 37133798 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...RJK REQUESTED BY...NATE WILLIAMSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20121105.FERNL.01/BOU