FNUS75 KBOU 061430 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FERN LAKE...ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATL PARK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 730 AM MST TUE NOV 6 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1755 MST ON NOVEMBER 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE GREAT BASIN TODAY AND THEN MOVE ACROSS COLORADO WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING MILD AND DRY CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL REMAIN WESTERLY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH TODAY AND UP TO 30 MPH TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BRING MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND A CHANCE FOR SNOW THIS WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-58 MIN HUMIDITY........23-30% WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 5300-6300 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 3800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20-25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 MAX HUMIDITY........35-45% WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-62. MIN HUMIDITY........19-25%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9-17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 2500-3500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 11-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .SATURDAY...COLDER...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-13 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FERN LAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/06-07 18 0 0 36 53 W 15 23 3 1 NNW 30 1943 W 23 37953 P 11/06-08 18 0 0 38 50 W 15 23 3 1 NNW 30 2191 W 22 41584 F 11/06-09 18 0 0 42 43 W 15 22 3 1 NNW 31 3460 WNW 22 68028 G 11/06-10 18 0 0 45 38 W 15 22 3 1 NW 33 4728 WNW 23 94471 G 11/06-11 19 0 0 49 33 W 15 23 3 1 NW 35 5996 NW 23120914 V 11/06-12 19 0 0 51 31 W 15 23 3 1 NW 37 6149 NW 23123329 V 11/06-13 19 0 0 51 31 W 16 24 2 1 NNW 39 6302 NW 23125744 V 11/06-14 19 0 0 50 32 W 16 24 2 1 NNW 41 6455 NW 23128159 V 11/06-15 19 0 0 47 35 W 16 24 2 1 NNW 43 5122 NW 21 98172 G 11/06-16 19 0 0 44 39 W 16 24 2 1 NNW 43 3789 WNW 20 68186 G 11/06-17 12 0 0 41 43 W 16 24 3 1 NNW 43 2457 WNW 18 38199 P 11/06-18 12 0 0 39 45 W 16 24 4 1 NNW 41 1826 W 17 28168 P 11/06-19 12 0 0 37 48 W 16 24 4 1 NNW 40 1195 W 17 18138 P 11/06-20 12 0 0 36 50 W 16 24 5 1 NNW 38 565 W 16 8107 P 11/06-21 12 0 0 36 49 W 16 24 5 1 NNW 37 489 W 16 7022 P 11/06-22 12 0 0 35 50 W 16 24 5 1 NNW 36 413 W 16 5937 P 11/06-23 2 0 0 35 50 W 16 24 5 1 NNW 35 337 W 16 4852 P 11/07-00 2 0 0 35 49 W 16 24 5 1 NNW 33 364 W 16 5219 P 11/07-01 2 0 0 34 50 W 17 25 5 1 NW 32 391 W 16 5585 P 11/07-02 2 0 0 34 49 W 17 26 5 1 NW 32 418 W 16 5951 P 11/07-03 2 0 0 33 50 W 17 26 5 1 NW 31 407 W 17 6273 P 11/07-04 2 0 0 33 48 W 18 28 5 1 WNW 31 395 W 20 6595 P 11/07-05 6 0 0 33 47 W 18 28 5 1 WNW 30 384 W 21 6916 P 11/07-06 6 0 0 35 43 W 18 28 5 1 WNW 29 577 W 22 10954 P 11/07-07 6 0 0 37 40 W 17 26 5 1 WNW 28 770 W 22 14991 P 11/07-08 6 0 0 41 34 W 17 26 5 1 WNW 26 963 W 23 19029 P 11/07-09 6 0 0 45 30 W 16 24 5 1 W 26 1924 W 25 45195 F 11/07-10 6 0 0 49 26 W 15 23 5 1 W 26 2884 W 26 71362 G 11/07-11 9 0 0 53 23 W 15 23 5 1 W 28 3845 W 29 97529 G 11/07-12 9 0 0 55 21 W 15 23 5 1 W 30 3901 W 29 97774 G 11/07-13 9 0 0 55 21 W 16 24 5 1 W 33 3957 W 29 98019 G 11/07-14 9 0 0 53 23 W 16 24 5 1 WSW 36 4013 W 28 98265 G 11/07-15 9 0 0 50 26 W 16 23 5 1 WSW 37 3040 W 26 72524 G 11/07-16 9 0 0 46 30 W 15 22 5 1 WSW 37 2067 W 24 46784 F 11/07-17 9 0 0 42 35 W 14 21 5 1 WSW 36 1094 W 22 21043 P 11/07-18 9 0 0 38 40 W 14 20 5 1 WSW 33 849 W 22 16372 P 11/07-19 9 0 0 35 44 W 13 20 5 1 WSW 30 604 W 22 11700 P 11/07-20 9 0 0 33 47 W 13 20 5 1 WSW 28 359 W 23 7029 P 11/07-21 9 0 0 32 48 WSW 13 18 5 1 WSW 26 351 W 23 6913 P 11/07-22 9 0 0 31 49 WSW 12 18 5 1 WSW 26 343 W 23 6797 P 11/07-23 12 0 0 31 49 WSW 12 17 5 1 WSW 26 335 W 23 6682 P 11/08-00 12 0 0 30 51 WSW 12 17 5 1 WSW 26 324 W 23 6344 P 11/08-01 12 0 0 30 51 WSW 12 17 4 1 W 25 314 W 22 6006 P 11/08-02 12 0 0 29 53 WSW 12 17 4 1 W 25 304 W 22 5668 P 11/08-03 12 0 0 29 53 WSW 12 17 4 1 W 25 351 W 20 5733 P 11/08-04 12 0 0 28 55 WSW 12 17 4 1 WSW 25 398 W 17 5798 P 11/08-05 16 0 0 28 55 WSW 12 17 4 1 WSW 26 445 W 15 5862 P 11/08-06 16 0 0 29 53 WSW 12 17 4 1 WSW 29 372 WSW 14 4546 P 11/08-07 16 0 0 32 48 WSW 12 17 3 1 WSW 32 299 WSW 12 3230 P 11/08-08 16 0 0 36 42 WSW 12 17 3 1 WSW 35 226 WSW 9 1914 P 11/08-09 16 0 0 42 34 WSW 12 17 3 1 WSW 37 3857 SW 16 97634 G 11/08-10 16 0 0 48 28 WSW 12 17 3 1 WSW 38 7488 SW 23193354 E 11/08-11 25 0 0 54 23 SW 9 14 3 1 WSW 40 11119 SW 30289073 E 11/08-12 25 0 0 56 22 SW 9 14 3 1 SW 43 10970 SW 32303925 E 11/08-13 25 0 0 56 22 SW 9 14 3 1 SW 46 10822 SW 35318777 E 11/08-14 25 0 0 54 24 SW 9 14 3 1 SW 49 10674 SW 36333629 E 11/08-15 25 0 0 51 27 SW 9 14 3 1 SW 53 8047 SW 35246667 E 11/08-16 25 0 0 46 33 SW 9 14 3 1 SW 55 5421 SW 32159706 E 11/08-17 25 0 0 42 38 SW 10 16 3 1 WSW 56 2794 SW 30 72744 G 11/08-18 25 0 0 37 45 SW 10 16 3 1 WSW 52 2116 SW 29 53938 F 11/08-19 25 0 0 34 50 SW 10 16 3 1 WSW 45 1438 SW 26 35133 P 11/08-20 25 0 0 31 56 SW 10 16 3 1 WSW 39 760 SW 24 16328 P 11/08-21 25 0 0 30 56 SW 10 16 3 1 SW 36 921 SW 30 25419 P 11/08-22 25 0 0 29 57 SW 10 16 3 1 SW 35 1083 WSW 36 34510 P 11/08-23 24 1 0 28 58 SW 13 20 3 1 SW 35 1245 WSW 40 43601 F 11/09-00 24 1 0 27 60 SW 13 20 3 1 SW 38 1303 WSW 41 46830 F 11/09-01 24 1 0 27 60 SW 13 20 4 1 SSW 41 1362 WSW 43 50058 F 11/09-02 24 1 0 26 63 SW 13 20 4 1 SSW 44 1420 WSW 44 53287 F 11/09-03 24 1 0 25 66 SW 13 20 4 1 SSW 41 1342 WSW 45 51991 F 11/09-04 24 1 0 25 67 SW 13 20 5 1 SSW 37 1265 WSW 46 50694 F 11/09-05 32 1 0 26 65 WSW 17 26 5 1 SSW 31 1187 WSW 48 49398 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...MEIER REQUESTED BY...NATE WILLIAMSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20121105.FERNL.01/BOU