FNUS75 KRIW 051439
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR FALLS CREEK...USFS SHF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
739 AM MST MON NOV 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON NOVEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL DROP SOUTHWARD OVER
THE AREA TODAY AND BRING SOME MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ALTHOUGH
SHOWERS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CONTROL THE WEATHER INTO MIDWEEK AND BRING MAINLY DRY WEATHER
ALONG WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. A STORM APPROACHING FROM THE
WEST FOR THE END OF THE WEEK WILL BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF SNOW ALTHOUGH
EXACT TIMING REMAINS UNCERTAIN.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...HATTINGS

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-50.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    20 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 22 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (34500-45000 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-34.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
                    MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (33700-45400 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-52.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP
                    TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (31700-44100 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 13 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...COLDER. SNOW LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE MID
20S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...HATTINGS
REQUESTED BY...SEAN SNYDER
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121105.FALLS.01/RIW