FNUS71 KRNK 051326 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE OAK HEATH...PILOT MOUNTAIN STATE PARK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 826 AM EST MON NOV 5 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON NOVEMBER 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND BUILDING INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. THIS FEATURE WILL PROVIDE FAIR WEATHER TODAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER MISSOURI WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TODAY...ACROSS ALABAMA...GEORGIA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT...THEN DEEPEN INTO A STRONG CYCLONE AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE WARM GULF STREAM WATERS OFF THE SOUTHEAST ALTANTIC COAST ON TUESDAY. THIS STORM WILL THEN TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WEDNESDAY...REACHING NEW ENGLAND BY THURSDAY. NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............8 12 21 31 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................48 51 52 49 RH..................45 41 36 40 20 FT WIND..........N 2 N 2 NE 1 NE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........2600 3600 2500 1500 TRANSPORT WIND......N 3 N 3 N 3 NE 3 CWR.................0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33. MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 3 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 3 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............36 44 50 55 60 64 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................47 43 41 39 38 37 RH..................45 54 60 62 66 69 20 FT WIND..........E 2 E 3 E 4 E 4 E 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........900 400 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......E 3 E 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 CWR.................0 0 0 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 3 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 3 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............66 70 74 77 82 86 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................33 36 43 46 47 47 RH..................79 71 56 51 49 52 20 FT WIND..........E 4 E 3 E 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........400 800 1700 2600 2700 2200 TRANSPORT WIND......E 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 E 3 CWR.................10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 4 5 4 $$ FORECASTER...WERT REQUESTED BY...MATT WINDSOR TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121105.PINEO.01/RNK