FNUS75 KRIW 061424
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR FALLS CREEK...USFS SHF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
724 AM MST TUE NOV 6 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0715 MST ON NOVEMBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTROL THE WEATHER INTO
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THERE WILL
BE A BIT OF A WESTERLY BREEZE TODAY INTO TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY AS A STORM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND BRINGS
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS BEGINNING ON THURSDAY. A STEADIER SNOW IS LIKELY
BEGINNING ON THURSDAY NIGHT.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...HATTINGS

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-52.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
                    MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (32000-54400 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-36.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
                    MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (47000-62600 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-50.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-37 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (51000-70900 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...COLDER. SNOW LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY. LOWS AROUND
3. HIGHS AROUND 18. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...HATTINGS
REQUESTED BY...SEAN SNYDER
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121106.FALLS.01/RIW