FNUS75 KRIW 071437
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR FALLS CREEK...USFS SHF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
737 AM MST WED NOV 7 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0735 MST ON NOVEMBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT A CONTINUATION OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND
DRY CONDITIONS TODAY. A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN WYOMING
AND ALTHOUGH IT SHOULD NOT MAKE IT THROUGH THE BURN AREA...IT WILL
BE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BRING SOME GUSTY BREEZES AT TIMES TODAY. EXPECT
MORE CLOUDS ON THURSDAY BUT ANY PRECIPITATION SHOULD STAY TO THE
NORTH AND WEST. THE CHANCE OF SNOW WILL INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
A GOOD CHANCE OF ACCUMULATING SNOW LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO
FRIDAY.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...HATTINGS

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-48.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (55500-80600 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-32.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (49500-79300 KNOT-FT).

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-44.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-46 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 TO 25
                    MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (46900-74500 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...
THEN CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.
.FRIDAY...COLDER. SNOW LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS AROUND 30.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY. LOWS AROUND
3. HIGHS AROUND 19. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.VETERANS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS
AROUND 6. HIGHS AROUND 15. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...HATTINGS
REQUESTED BY...SEAN SNYDER
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121107.FALLS.01/RIW