FNUS75 KBYZ 081520
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BULL ELK PARK...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
820 AM MST THU NOV 8 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0721 MST ON NOVEMBER 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS AT THE FIRE SITE WILL BE SHIFTING FROM NORTHERLY THROUGH
SOUTHEAST TODAY...SOUTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHWEST TONIGHT...AND BACK
TO NORTHWEST BY FRIDAY EVENING. LOOK FOR STRONG SOUTHWEST RIDGETOP
WINDS TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COOLER AT
THE FIRE SITE TODAY THAN PREVIOUS DAYS...WITH SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER
RH VALUES. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AT THE FIRE SITE THIS MORNING. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY...BUT ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION IS NOT
EXPECTED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING. A WINTER STORM SYSTEM MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA...WILL BRING INCREASING CHANCES OF SNOW
THROUGHOUT THE DAY FRIDAY...WITH SNOW CONTINUING SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................13 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING SHIFTING
                    TO THE EAST BY LATE MORNING...AND INCREASING
                    TO 15 TO 25 MPH AND TURNING MORE SOUTHEAST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 40 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................12 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...AND TURNING SOUTHWEST
                    AT 10 TO 20 MPH OVERNIGHT.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 40 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING
                    THROUGH THE DAY AND TURNING NORTHWEST 5 TO 15
                    BY EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 40 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.

$$
FORECASTER...GILSTAD
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN HILLARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20121108.BULLE.01/BYZ