FNUS75 KBOU 101234 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FERN LAKE...ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATL PARK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 533 AM MST SAT NOV 10 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1523 MST ON NOVEMBER 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SNOW WILL OCCUR TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT WITH ACCUMULATIONS FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. IT WILL BE WINDY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30. MIN HUMIDITY........51%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0600. 6500-7500 FT AGL AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30-40 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN WEST 30-50 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................70 PERCENT DECREASING TO 60 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 10 ABOVE. MAX HUMIDITY........87%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......6300-7300 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 5200-6200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 0200...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................55 PERCENT DECREASING TO 45 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .VETERANS DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23. MIN HUMIDITY........40%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 11-17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......7100-8100 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 10300-11300 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 11700-12700 FT AGL UNTIL 1500...THEN 8400-9400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 35-45 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................10 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 3. HIGHS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS 13-22 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 8-13 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 8-9 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FERN LAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/10-05 99 81 70 26 78 WSW 10 16 3 1 SW 75 931 SSW 23 18589 P 11/10-06 99 81 70 26 75 WSW 10 17 3 1 SW 63 1291 SW 24 27951 P 11/10-07 99 81 70 27 69 W 13 20 3 1 SSW 48 1651 W 25 37313 P 11/10-08 99 81 70 28 63 W 14 22 3 1 SSW 37 2011 W 26 46675 F 11/10-09 99 81 70 29 58 W 16 25 3 1 SSW 37 2703 W 33 88067 G 11/10-10 99 81 70 30 53 WSW 18 29 3 1 S 40 3395 WSW 41129459 V 11/10-11 98 74 59 30 51 WSW 20 31 3 1 S 45 4087 WSW 48170851 E 11/10-12 98 74 59 29 52 WSW 21 33 3 1 S 47 5296 WSW 44192974 E 11/10-13 98 74 59 28 53 WSW 21 33 2 1 SSW 48 6505 WSW 39215097 E 11/10-14 98 74 59 26 57 WSW 21 33 2 1 SW 47 7713 WSW 36237219 E 11/10-15 98 74 59 25 59 WSW 20 31 2 1 SW 39 7598 WSW 35225100 E 11/10-16 98 74 59 23 64 W 18 29 3 1 SW 30 7483 W 32212980 E 11/10-17 96 70 53 21 68 W 16 25 3 1 WSW 22 7368 W 31200861 E 11/10-18 96 70 53 20 68 W 15 23 3 1 WSW 20 6766 W 31180872 E 11/10-19 96 70 53 18 70 W 13 21 3 1 WSW 20 6163 W 30160884 E 11/10-20 96 70 53 17 70 W 12 18 3 1 WSW 22 5560 W 29140895 V 11/10-21 96 70 53 16 72 W 10 17 3 1 WSW 24 5420 W 28130612 V 11/10-22 96 70 53 15 74 W 10 17 3 1 WSW 26 5280 WNW 26120328 V 11/10-23 94 65 45 14 77 W 10 16 3 1 WSW 29 5140 WNW 24110045 V 11/11-00 94 65 45 13 77 W 10 16 3 1 WSW 30 5323 WNW 26122807 V 11/11-01 94 65 45 13 75 W 10 16 3 1 WSW 31 5506 W 29135569 V 11/11-02 94 65 45 12 76 W 10 16 3 1 WSW 31 5689 W 30148331 V 11/11-03 94 65 45 12 77 W 10 16 3 1 W 33 5966 W 31162719 E 11/11-04 94 65 45 11 82 W 9 15 3 1 W 36 6243 W 32177107 E 11/11-05 90 28 8 11 84 W 9 15 3 1 WNW 39 6520 W 33191495 E 11/11-06 90 28 8 10 87 W 9 15 3 1 WNW 43 7560 W 36235330 E 11/11-07 90 28 8 10 85 W 10 17 3 1 W 46 8599 W 37279166 E 11/11-08 90 28 8 12 76 W 12 18 3 1 W 49 9639 W 39323001 E 11/11-09 90 28 8 16 61 W 13 20 3 1 W 52 10699 W 39362214 E 11/11-10 90 28 8 19 51 W 14 22 3 1 W 54 11759 W 39401426 E 11/11-11 89 5 1 22 43 W 15 24 3 1 W 55 12818 W 39440638 E 11/11-12 89 5 1 23 40 W 17 26 3 1 W 55 12400 W 40432039 E 11/11-13 89 5 1 22 42 W 18 30 2 1 WNW 53 11982 WNW 40423440 E 11/11-14 89 5 1 20 45 W 20 31 2 1 WNW 51 11564 WNW 41414841 E 11/11-15 89 5 1 16 53 W 18 30 2 1 WNW 49 9775 WNW 44364132 E 11/11-16 89 5 1 13 61 W 17 29 2 1 NW 47 7986 WNW 46313423 E 11/11-17 22 10 2 10 69 W 17 28 2 1 NW 46 6197 WNW 48262714 E 11/11-18 22 10 2 8 74 W 20 30 2 1 NNW 44 5005 WNW 48211514 E 11/11-19 22 10 2 7 75 W 22 35 2 1 NNW 44 3813 W 48160314 E 11/11-20 22 10 2 5 79 W 23 37 2 1 N 44 2622 W 48109114 V 11/11-21 22 10 2 4 82 W 22 36 2 1 NNW 45 2293 W 46 92358 G 11/11-22 22 10 2 3 84 W 21 33 2 1 NNW 47 1965 W 44 75602 G 11/11-23 25 0 0 3 83 W 20 31 2 1 NNW 49 1636 W 41 58846 F 11/12-00 25 0 0 3 80 W 21 33 3 1 NNW 51 1561 W 41 55818 F 11/12-01 25 0 0 4 74 W 23 37 3 1 NNW 51 1487 W 40 52789 F 11/12-02 25 0 0 4 72 W 24 39 4 1 NNW 51 1412 W 40 49760 F 11/12-03 25 0 0 4 72 W 23 37 4 1 NNW 54 1317 W 40 46111 F 11/12-04 25 0 0 5 68 W 21 33 3 1 NNW 58 1222 W 40 42462 F 11/12-05 26 0 0 5 69 W 20 31 3 1 NNW 59 1126 W 39 38812 P 11/12-06 26 0 0 7 62 W 21 32 3 1 NNW 58 1209 W 37 38367 P 11/12-07 26 0 0 9 56 W 22 35 3 1 NNW 54 1293 W 35 37922 P 11/12-08 26 0 0 13 48 W 22 35 3 1 NNW 49 1376 W 31 37476 P 11/12-09 26 0 0 18 41 W 20 31 3 1 NNW 45 2050 WNW 30 51163 F 11/12-10 26 0 0 23 36 W 16 26 3 1 NW 39 2725 WNW 28 64850 G 11/12-11 23 0 0 28 32 W 14 22 3 1 NW 35 3399 WNW 26 78537 G 11/12-12 23 0 0 31 30 W 14 22 3 1 NW 32 3820 WNW 26 88596 G 11/12-13 23 0 0 32 30 W 14 23 2 1 NW 31 4242 WNW 26 98656 G 11/12-14 23 0 0 31 33 W 15 24 2 1 WNW 31 4664 WNW 26108716 V 11/12-15 23 0 0 28 38 W 14 23 2 1 WNW 30 3578 WNW 25 81763 G 11/12-16 23 0 0 23 47 W 14 21 3 1 WNW 29 2491 W 24 54809 F 11/12-17 15 0 0 19 56 W 13 21 3 1 WNW 28 1405 W 23 27856 P 11/12-18 15 0 0 17 61 W 14 22 3 1 NW 29 1156 W 23 23344 P 11/12-19 15 0 0 16 63 W 15 23 3 1 NW 31 907 W 24 18833 P 11/12-20 15 0 0 16 61 W 15 24 3 1 NW 32 658 W 25 14321 P 11/12-21 15 0 0 16 59 W 14 22 3 1 NW 30 606 W 24 12674 P 11/12-22 15 0 0 16 57 W 13 21 3 1 NW 28 553 W 23 11028 P 11/12-23 29 0 0 16 56 W 12 18 3 1 NW 26 501 W 22 9381 P 11/13-00 29 0 0 16 55 W 12 18 3 1 NW 26 474 W 21 8529 P 11/13-01 29 0 0 16 55 W 13 20 3 1 WNW 28 448 W 20 7676 P 11/13-02 29 0 0 16 56 W 13 21 3 1 WNW 29 421 W 18 6824 P 11/13-03 29 0 0 16 57 W 13 21 3 1 WNW 30 412 W 20 6906 P 11/13-04 29 0 0 16 59 W 13 21 3 1 WNW 32 403 W 20 6988 P 11/13-05 31 0 0 16 61 W 12 18 3 1 NW 35 395 W 21 7070 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...RPK REQUESTED BY...NATE WILLIAMSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20121109.FERNL.01/BOU