FNUS73 KPAH 091411 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR TURPEN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 811 AM CST FRI NOV 9 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON NOVEMBER 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... INCREASINGLY GUSTY SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ALSO BE ON THE INCREASE IN THE WEST TODAY AND THEN OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. IN GENERAL...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE CO-LOCATED WITH THE HIGHEST HUMIDITY AND WETTEST FUELS. THE WORST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER WEST KENTUCKY SATURDAY WHEN GUSTY SOUTH WINDS...MINIMUM HUMIDITIES IN THE 30S...AND FUEL MOISTURES OF 8 PERCENT OR LESS ARE EXPECTED. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING A BAND OF HEAVY RAIN...WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS...AND RAPIDLY FALLING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. COOL AND DRY SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE REGION BY TUESDAY AND THEN LINGER THROUGH THE COMING WORK WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 68. RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 800-2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 21 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 20 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 9 TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO AROUND 3 MPH. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............60 64 66 67 67 66 62 RH..............44 38 36 35 36 38 45 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 10 10 10 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.2 2.1 1.8 1.6 1.2 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.24 24 23 20 14 9 3 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48. RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............59 55 53 52 52 51 RH..............51 57 60 63 63 67 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....700 600 600 700 700 600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72. RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 36 TO 39 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............50 58 68 71 RH..............74 63 47 42 20 FT WIND......S 5G10 S 9G20 S 11G25 S 11G25 MIX HGT (FT)....800 1700 2300 1700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 14 S 29 S 38 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...TREVINO REQUESTED BY...FRANK PAUKERT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121109.TURPE.01/PAH