FNUS71 KRNK 091730 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR PILOT MOUNTAIN FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1230 PM EST FRI NOV 9 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1146 EST ON NOVEMBER 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ...HUMIDITIES STILL LOW BUT WINDS WEAKER... THIS AFTERNOON...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP INTO THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE EAST OF THE CREST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...WITH MOST AREAS IN THE MOUNTAINS EXPERIENCING HUMIDITIES OF 27 TO 35 PERCENT. WINDS NOT BE AS STRONG AS THOSE REALIZED THURSDAY...BUT SOME GUSTS AROUND 10 MPH CANNOT BE RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS. HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE UPPER 20 TO MID 30S PERCENT RANGE WITH WINDS REMAINING LIGHT. OUR NEXT GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY WHEN A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44. MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............0 0 0 0 1 2 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................56 53 51 49 48 47 RH..................35 44 50 54 56 56 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 SW 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 1 SW 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 MIX HGT (FT)........600 300 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 3 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............4 4 4 4 3 2 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................44 49 57 62 65 65 RH..................59 48 37 30 26 27 20 FT WIND..........SE 0 SE 1 S 2 S 4 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......SE 0 SE 1 S 2 S 3 S 4 S 4 EYE LVL WND GST..... 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........300 500 900 1300 1300 900 TRANSPORT WIND......S 0 S 0 S 1 SW 2 SW 3 SW 3 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX........5 5 4 4 4 4 .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............2 2 1 1 1 2 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................59 55 52 50 48 46 RH..................38 50 56 60 63 66 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 0 S 1 S 1 SW 1 SW 1 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 4 SW 0 S 1 S 1 SW 1 SW 1 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 MIX HGT (FT)........500 300 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 5 SW 5 SW 3 SW 3 SW 3 SW 3 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 .VETERANS DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............2 2 2 2 4 14 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................44 49 57 63 66 67 RH..................70 61 48 37 31 31 20 FT WIND..........SE 1 SE 1 SE 1 SE 2 SE 3 SE 2 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SE 1 SE 1 SE 1 SE 2 SE 2 SE 2 EYE LVL WND GST..... 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........300 600 1400 2100 2200 1700 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 3 SW 3 SW 6 S 7 S 7 S 7 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX........5 5 4 5 5 4 $$ FORECASTER...KOSTURA REQUESTED BY...ERIC WELKER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20121109.PILOT.01/RNK