FNUS76 KSTO 091245
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR MT  ELIZABETH PILE BURN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
445 AM PST FRI NOV 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PST ON NOVEMBER 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS IMPACTING NORCAL TODAY WITH SHOWERS
AND MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES. SNOW LEVEL ALONG WESTERN SIERRA SLOPES
IS AROUND 2500 FEET SO ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED AT BURNSITE.
BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE VICINITY OF BURNSITE WILL LESSEN TONIGHT.
SHOWERS COULD LINGER INTO SATURDAY MORNING. DRIER BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS. WETTER AND COLDER CONDITIONS EXPECTED AGAIN
BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MIN HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. LOCAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH POSSIBLE.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....EAST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....NORTH WINDS UP TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5
                    TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........WEST 6 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 MPH.


FORECASTER...JBB
REQUESTED BY...SHAUN CRAIG
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121109.MTELI.01/STO

$$