FNUS71 KRNK 102025 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR PENLEY FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 325 PM EST SAT NOV 10 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1225 EST ON NOVEMBER 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ...LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES THIS WEEKEND... EXPECT LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THE EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE RESTS OVERHEAD. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST DURING THE OVERNIGHT...WHICH WILL KEEP THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WARMER... SO MAY SEE A FEW DEGREE TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE TOP OF THE BURN AND THE BOTTOM. WINDS WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY BY MORNING AS WELL AS THE HIGH CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST...BUT WILL MAINTAIN DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. ATLANTIC MOISTURE MAKES A STRONG RETURN SUNDAY NIGHT HOWEVER...AND CAN EXPECT LOW CEILINGS...IN ADDITION TO POSSIBLE DRIZZLE AT THE BURN. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EST) 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............0 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................67 65 RH..................25 30 20 FT WIND..........S 2 S 1 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 1 S 1 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 MIX HGT (FT)........3200 2200 TRANSPORT WIND......S 3 S 5 CWR.................0 0 HAINES INDEX........5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38. MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 5 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............0 0 0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................61 54 50 48 45 43 RH..................35 44 53 60 67 71 20 FT WIND..........S 1 S 1 S 2 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 1 S 1 S 1 SW 1 SW 1 SW 1 EYE LVL WND GST..... 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........1000 300 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 2 S 1 S 2 S 3 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 .VETERANS DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH...INCREASING TO 9 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH...INCREASING TO 9 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............2 8 17 23 30 44 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................39 44 54 59 63 65 RH..................80 66 47 40 36 38 20 FT WIND..........S 2 S 2 S 5 S 6 S 6 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 1 S 2 S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........300 800 1800 2700 3300 3400 TRANSPORT WIND......S 6 S 9 S 16 S 18 S 9 S 9 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 4 $$ FORECASTER...FILLO REQUESTED BY...TATER MAINES TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20121110.PENLE.01/RNK