FNUS71 KRNK 112217 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR SADE FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 517 PM EST SUN NOV 11 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1655 EST ON NOVEMBER 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... CLOUDS ARE GOING TO INCREASE AS WE HEAD INTO TONIGHT...AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THIS SITE MONDAY EVENING. THERE WILL BE AN INITIAL DECREASE IN WINDS THIS EVENING TO UNDER 10 MPH...BUT WILL PICK UP LATE TONIGHT FROM THE SOUTH AT 10 TO 15 MPH. AT THE SAME TIME HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE GOING TO INCREASE TO CLOSE TO 100 PERCENT AS SKIES BECOME OVERCAST. THERE MAY BE SOME LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE BY DAWN MONDAY. THE BIG CONCERN WILL BE SHORTLY BEFORE THE FRONT ARRIVES AS WINDS INCREASE AND SHIFT FROM THE SOUTH TO THE SOUTHWEST MONDAY AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS TO 20 TO 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE BUT THERE WILL ALSO BE SOME SHOWERS AROUND...ALTHOUGH AMOUNTS LOOK TO BE LIGHT. BEHIND THE FRONT MONDAY EVENING THE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 20 MPH AND GUST TO 25 OR 30 MPH WITH GOOD THREAT OF SHOWERS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM THIS FRONT WILL IN THE ONE QUARTER INCH RANGE...BUT COULD SEE LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF ONE HALF INCH. OVERALL...NOT A GOOD SOAKING RAIN. SKIES CLEAR OUT TUESDAY AND WINDS WILL BE IN THE 10 TO 15 MPH RANGE...DECREASING TO AROUND 10 OR LESS IN THE AFTERNOON. .REST OF THE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 18 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............22 31 44 58 69 77 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................55 50 48 47 47 47 RH..................38 45 53 60 68 85 20 FT WIND..........S 8 S 10 S 10 S 10 S 10 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 25 30 30 30 30 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 6 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 EYE LVL WND GST.....20 25 30 30 30 30 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 10 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CWR (0.01 IN).......50 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 29 MPH...INCREASING TO 29 TO 36 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 18 TO 24 MPH LATE. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............82 85 86 86 88 92 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RAIN RAIN RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................48 50 53 56 60 63 RH..................81 84 79 72 66 65 20 FT WIND..........S 8 S 9 S 10 S 11 S 10 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 30 30 30 30 25 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 6 S 7 S 7 S 8 S 8 S 7 EYE LVL WND GST.....30 30 30 30 30 25 CWR.................20 20 20 20 30 50 .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL EARLY MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35. MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CWR (0.01 IN).......90 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 21 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 18 TO 23 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............97 99 100 100 100 96 WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................62 58 52 44 39 36 RH..................80 92 97 98 97 93 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 6 NW 8 NW 10 NW 10 NW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 20 25 25 25 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 5 SW 5 NW 6 NW 7 NW 8 NW 8 EYE LVL WND GST.....20 15 20 25 25 25 CWR.................60 70 90 90 80 50 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE MORNING. CWR (0.01 IN).......50 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 17 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............96 65 42 42 26 18 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSN RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................35 36 40 44 44 40 RH..................96 81 66 57 51 49 20 FT WIND..........NW 10 NW 9 NW 8 NW 7 NW 6 N 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 20 20 15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......NW 7 NW 7 NW 6 NW 5 NW 5 N 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....25 20 20 15 15 15 CWR.................50 20 10 10 10 0 $$ FORECASTER...PERRY REQUESTED BY...RON NIXON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20121111.SADEF.01/RNK