FNUS75 KBOU 140510 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GORE LAKES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 957 PM MST TUE NOV 13 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON NOVEMBER 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A FLAT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. ON WEDNESDAY...GENERALLY DRY WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT CAN BE EXPECTED ALTHOUGH THERE IS A BIT OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER ON WEDNESDAY AND ENOUGH MIXING SHOULD OCCUR FOR GOOD TO VERY GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37. MIN HUMIDITY........37%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 3-7 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN WEST 6-9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 6200-7200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN WEST 25-30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GORE LAKES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/13-21 28 0 0 18 78 SSW 3 3 2 1 WNW 52 3778 WSW 12 37928 P 11/13-22 28 0 0 17 79 SSW 3 3 3 1 WNW 54 3293 SW 13 35676 P 11/13-23 37 0 0 16 80 SW 3 3 3 1 WNW 55 2807 SW 14 33423 P 11/14-00 37 0 0 15 82 SW 3 3 3 1 WNW 55 2442 SW 13 28258 P 11/14-01 37 0 0 15 81 SW 5 5 3 1 W 54 2076 WSW 13 23093 P 11/14-02 45 0 0 14 84 SW 5 5 3 1 W 54 1711 WSW 12 17928 P 11/14-03 45 0 0 13 86 WSW 6 6 3 1 W 55 1566 WSW 10 15021 P 11/14-04 45 0 0 13 85 WSW 7 7 2 1 W 56 1422 SW 9 12114 P 11/14-05 51 0 0 13 84 WSW 7 7 2 1 W 58 1277 SW 8 9206 P 11/14-06 51 0 0 14 79 WSW 6 6 2 1 W 58 1577 WSW 9 13870 P 11/14-07 51 0 0 15 76 WSW 5 5 2 1 W 56 1877 WSW 12 18533 P 11/14-08 51 0 0 19 65 WSW 5 5 2 1 W 55 2177 WSW 13 23196 P 11/14-09 51 0 0 23 57 WSW 6 6 2 1 W 55 3616 WSW 17 66531 G 11/14-10 51 0 0 29 46 WSW 7 7 2 1 W 56 5054 W 22109865 V 11/14-11 47 0 0 33 41 WSW 8 8 2 1 W 59 6493 W 28153199 E 11/14-12 47 0 0 36 38 WSW 9 9 2 1 W 60 6880 W 28164856 E 11/14-13 47 0 0 37 37 WSW 10 15 2 1 W 60 7267 W 28176513 E 11/14-14 49 0 0 36 38 WSW 10 16 2 1 W 61 7654 W 29188170 E 11/14-15 49 0 0 35 40 WSW 10 15 2 1 W 61 6806 W 26159505 E 11/14-16 49 0 0 32 44 W 10 15 2 1 W 60 5958 W 25130839 V 11/14-17 63 1 0 30 47 W 9 14 2 1 W 60 5111 W 23102174 V 11/14-18 63 1 0 28 49 W 8 8 2 1 W 59 4218 W 20 76809 G 11/14-19 63 1 0 26 51 W 8 8 3 1 W 59 3325 W 16 51444 F 11/14-20 63 1 0 25 50 W 7 7 3 1 W 58 2432 W 13 26079 P 11/14-21 63 1 0 24 50 W 7 7 3 1 W 58 2301 W 12 23860 P 11/14-22 63 1 0 24 47 W 6 6 3 1 W 56 2171 W 12 21641 P 11/14-23 42 3 1 23 48 W 6 6 3 1 W 56 2040 W 12 19422 P 11/15-00 42 3 1 22 49 W 6 6 3 1 W 55 1950 W 10 17238 P 11/15-01 42 3 1 22 49 W 6 6 2 1 W 54 1861 W 9 15055 P 11/15-02 42 3 1 21 52 W 6 6 2 1 W 54 1772 W 8 12871 P 11/15-03 42 3 1 20 54 W 6 6 2 1 W 53 1759 W 7 11128 P 11/15-04 42 3 1 20 55 W 5 5 2 1 W 52 1745 W 6 9384 P 11/15-05 29 0 0 20 56 W 5 5 2 1 WNW 51 1732 W 5 7641 P 11/15-06 29 0 0 21 56 WSW 3 3 2 1 WNW 52 2245 W 5 9944 P 11/15-07 29 0 0 22 57 WSW 2 2 2 1 WNW 52 2759 WSW 5 12248 P 11/15-08 29 0 0 24 55 SW 2 2 2 1 WNW 52 3272 WSW 5 14551 P 11/15-09 29 0 0 27 50 SW 2 2 2 1 WNW 52 4441 WSW 8 35101 P 11/15-10 29 0 0 30 45 SW 3 3 2 1 WNW 51 5610 W 10 55651 F 11/15-11 22 0 0 32 43 SW 3 3 2 1 WNW 48 6780 W 13 76200 G 11/15-12 22 0 0 34 41 SW 3 3 2 1 WNW 46 6918 W 14 80554 G 11/15-13 22 0 0 35 41 SW 5 5 2 1 WNW 44 7055 W 14 84907 G 11/15-14 22 0 0 35 42 SW 5 5 2 1 WNW 41 7193 W 14 89261 G 11/15-15 22 0 0 33 46 SW 5 5 2 1 WNW 38 6145 WSW 13 71073 G 11/15-16 22 0 0 32 48 SW 5 5 2 1 W 36 5096 WSW 12 52886 F 11/15-17 25 0 0 30 51 SW 5 5 2 1 W 33 4048 SW 10 34699 P 11/15-18 25 0 0 28 54 SW 5 5 2 1 W 31 3157 SW 9 26091 P 11/15-19 25 0 0 27 53 SSW 5 5 2 1 W 29 2267 SSW 8 17482 P 11/15-20 25 0 0 26 53 SSW 5 5 2 1 W 26 1377 SSW 7 8874 P 11/15-21 25 0 0 25 52 SSW 5 5 2 1 W 26 1204 S 7 7621 P 11/15-22 25 0 0 25 49 SW 6 6 2 1 WSW 25 1032 S 7 6367 P 11/15-23 32 2 0 24 48 SW 6 6 2 1 WSW 26 859 S 7 5113 P 11/16-00 32 2 0 23 47 SW 6 6 2 1 WSW 29 780 SSW 8 4987 P 11/16-01 32 2 0 23 45 SSW 6 6 2 1 SW 32 701 SSW 8 4861 P 11/16-02 32 2 0 23 43 SSW 6 6 2 1 SW 35 622 SSW 9 4735 P 11/16-03 32 2 0 22 45 SSW 6 6 2 1 WSW 37 634 SSW 9 4792 P 11/16-04 32 2 0 22 46 SW 7 7 2 1 WSW 38 647 SW 8 4849 P 11/16-05 43 13 3 22 47 SW 7 7 2 1 WSW 38 660 SW 8 4906 P 11/16-06 43 13 3 23 47 SSW 7 7 2 1 WSW 36 1123 SSW 9 9304 P 11/16-07 43 13 3 24 47 S 6 6 2 1 WSW 33 1587 S 9 13703 P 11/16-08 43 13 3 26 46 S 7 7 2 1 WSW 32 2051 S 10 18101 P 11/16-09 43 13 3 29 42 S 8 13 2 1 SW 36 3933 S 17 81513 G 11/16-10 43 13 3 32 39 SSW 10 16 2 1 SW 41 5815 SSW 24144925 V 11/16-11 64 24 5 35 36 SSW 14 22 2 1 SW 45 7697 SW 31208337 E 11/16-12 64 24 5 36 37 SSW 14 22 2 1 WSW 45 8001 SW 32226510 E 11/16-13 64 24 5 37 38 SSW 14 22 3 1 WSW 44 8304 WSW 33244683 E 11/16-14 64 24 5 36 42 SSW 14 22 3 1 WSW 41 8608 WSW 36262856 E 11/16-15 64 24 5 35 46 SSW 14 22 3 1 WSW 43 7636 WSW 31213945 E 11/16-16 64 24 5 33 52 SSW 14 22 3 1 WSW 43 6664 WSW 28165034 E 11/16-17 75 23 5 30 61 SW 8 13 3 1 WSW 44 5692 WSW 23116123 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH REQUESTED BY...LEE NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121114.GOREL.01/BOU