FNUS75 KGJT 140542
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE SNAKE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1042 PM MST TUE NOV 13 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON NOVEMBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RELATIVELY STABLE ATMOSPHERE IS EXPECTED TODAY...BUT A TROUGH
PASSING NORTH OF THE SITE WILL INCREASE THE TRANSPORT WIND...
ESPECIALLY IN THE MID AND UPPER SLOPES WHERE THIS BURN WILL BE.
FROM ABOUT 1 PM TO 4 PM TODAY THE TRANSPORT WIND SHOULD INCREASE
TO ABOUT 25 MPH FROM THE WEST...WHICH WILL IMPROVE SMOKE DISPERSAL.

DISPERSAL SHOULD REVERT TO POOR QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET. THURSDAY HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK OVER THE AREA. ANOTHER RELATIVELY STABLE DAY
IS EXPECTED...BUT WITH MORE SUN THERE SHOULD BE BETTER SURFACE HEATING
AND HIGHER MIXING. THE BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILLME TRANSPORT WIND
WILL BE LESS PRODUCING A SHORTER DURATION OF FAIR AND GOOD DISPERSAL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) HIGH CLOUD.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR. BETWEEN 1300 AND
                    1600 GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 UNTIL 1100...THEN IMPROVING TO 2500 FT AGL
                    BY 1500.

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....17-22 F.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....AFTER SUNSET...POOR.

.THURSDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-42 F.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR. FROM 1400-1500 GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...CHRIS CUOCO
REQUESTED BY...LANCE BROYLES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121114.LITTL.01/GJT