FNUS75 KBOU 151404 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR OWL MTN NORTH PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 652 AM MST THU NOV 15 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON NOVEMBER 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH CLOUDS AND A FEW LINGERING FLURRIES. EXPECT DECREASING CLOUDS BY AFTERNOON. THE FLOW ALOFT WILL SHIFT SOUTHWEST ON FRIDAY BUT DRY. EXPECT SOME GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1300...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1000. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38. MIN HUMIDITY........39%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 5700-6700 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 3700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 16. MAX HUMIDITY........72%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2100 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MIN HUMIDITY........31%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTHWEST 8-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 1900-2900 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 5400-6400 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 3100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN 20-25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-11 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-9 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-12 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR OWL MTN NORTH PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/15-06 74 33 12 19 90 WSW 6 6 3 1 WNW 45 2073 W 9 16533 P 11/15-07 74 33 12 21 82 SW 6 6 2 1 WNW 41 2243 W 8 16391 P 11/15-08 74 7 1 24 71 SW 6 6 2 1 WNW 38 2413 W 8 16248 P 11/15-09 74 7 1 28 59 SW 6 6 2 1 WNW 35 4050 W 9 38114 P 11/15-10 46 7 1 31 52 WSW 5 5 2 1 WNW 30 5687 W 12 59980 F 11/15-11 46 0 0 34 45 WSW 5 5 2 1 WNW 26 7324 W 13 81846 G 11/15-12 46 0 0 37 40 WSW 6 6 2 1 WNW 24 7178 W 14 85123 G 11/15-13 24 0 0 38 39 WSW 7 7 2 1 NW 22 7032 W 15 88399 G 11/15-14 24 0 0 37 40 WSW 8 13 2 1 NW 20 6886 W 15 91675 G 11/15-15 19 0 0 35 44 SW 8 13 2 1 NW 17 5286 W 15 69474 G 11/15-16 19 0 0 31 52 SW 7 7 2 1 NW 16 3687 WSW 14 47272 F 11/15-17 18 0 0 27 60 SW 7 7 2 1 NW 15 2088 WSW 14 25071 P 11/15-18 18 0 0 24 66 SW 7 7 2 1 NW 14 1506 SW 13 17673 P 11/15-19 18 0 0 22 68 SSW 7 7 2 1 WNW 13 924 SW 12 10274 P 11/15-20 12 0 0 20 71 SSW 7 7 2 1 WNW 13 342 SSW 9 2875 P 11/15-21 12 0 0 19 72 S 6 6 2 1 WNW 15 313 SSW 9 2562 P 11/15-22 12 0 0 19 70 S 6 6 2 1 WNW 18 283 SW 9 2248 P 11/15-23 21 0 0 18 70 S 5 5 2 1 W 21 254 SW 9 1934 P 11/16-00 21 0 0 18 67 S 5 5 2 1 W 23 298 SW 9 2296 P 11/16-01 21 0 0 17 67 S 5 5 2 1 W 25 343 SW 9 2659 P 11/16-02 21 0 0 17 64 S 5 5 2 1 W 26 387 SW 9 3021 P 11/16-03 21 0 0 16 65 S 5 5 2 1 W 29 390 SW 9 3208 P 11/16-04 21 0 0 16 64 S 6 6 2 1 W 30 393 SW 10 3395 P 11/16-05 49 0 0 17 61 S 6 6 2 1 W 30 396 SW 10 3581 P 11/16-06 49 0 0 18 61 S 6 6 2 1 W 30 374 SW 10 3236 P 11/16-07 49 0 0 21 56 S 6 6 3 1 W 29 351 SW 9 2891 P 11/16-08 49 0 0 25 50 S 6 6 3 1 W 28 329 SW 9 2546 P 11/16-09 49 0 0 30 43 S 7 7 3 1 WSW 29 1714 SW 13 27533 P 11/16-10 49 0 0 35 38 SSW 8 13 3 1 WSW 29 3100 SW 16 52520 F 11/16-11 55 1 0 39 34 SSW 9 15 3 1 WSW 31 4486 SW 20 77507 G 11/16-12 55 1 0 42 31 SW 10 16 3 1 WSW 35 5417 SW 22107641 V 11/16-13 55 1 0 42 32 SW 12 17 2 1 WSW 38 6349 SW 24137774 V 11/16-14 55 1 0 42 33 SW 12 18 2 1 WSW 41 7281 SW 26167908 E 11/16-15 55 1 0 39 38 SW 12 18 2 1 WSW 44 5188 SW 23116563 V 11/16-16 55 1 0 36 45 SW 12 17 2 1 WSW 46 3094 SW 20 65218 G 11/16-17 80 24 5 32 53 SW 10 16 2 1 WSW 48 1001 SW 16 13873 P 11/16-18 80 24 5 30 58 SW 9 15 2 1 WSW 52 816 SW 16 11273 P 11/16-19 80 24 5 29 61 SW 8 14 2 1 WSW 55 630 SW 16 8673 P 11/16-20 80 24 5 28 63 SW 8 13 2 1 WSW 55 445 SW 16 6072 P 11/16-21 80 24 5 27 66 SW 9 14 2 1 WSW 52 635 SW 16 9195 P 11/16-22 80 24 5 26 68 SW 10 16 2 1 WSW 46 825 WSW 17 12318 P 11/16-23 80 18 4 25 71 WSW 12 18 2 1 SW 43 1016 WSW 17 15441 P 11/17-00 80 18 4 25 71 WSW 12 18 2 1 WSW 46 974 WSW 17 14730 P 11/17-01 80 18 4 24 74 WSW 12 18 2 1 WSW 51 933 WSW 17 14020 P 11/17-02 80 18 4 24 74 WSW 12 18 2 1 WSW 54 891 WSW 17 13309 P 11/17-03 80 18 4 24 75 WSW 12 20 2 1 WSW 53 999 WSW 17 15298 P 11/17-04 80 18 4 24 76 WSW 13 20 2 1 WSW 48 1107 WSW 18 17288 P 11/17-05 55 10 2 24 78 WSW 13 21 2 1 W 44 1215 WSW 18 19277 P 11/17-06 55 10 2 24 80 WSW 13 20 2 1 W 40 1626 WSW 21 29911 P 11/17-07 55 10 2 25 79 WSW 13 20 2 1 W 37 2037 WSW 22 40545 F 11/17-08 55 10 2 27 75 WSW 12 18 2 1 W 35 2448 W 24 51180 F 11/17-09 55 10 2 31 66 WSW 10 17 2 1 W 32 3628 W 25 79663 G 11/17-10 55 10 2 35 58 WSW 9 16 2 1 W 30 4809 W 25108146 V 11/17-11 55 10 2 38 52 WSW 9 15 2 1 W 29 5989 W 26136630 V 11/17-12 55 10 2 40 48 WSW 9 15 2 1 W 29 6642 W 25141457 V 11/17-13 55 10 2 40 47 WSW 10 16 2 1 WSW 29 7295 WSW 23146284 V 11/17-14 55 10 2 40 46 WSW 10 16 2 1 WSW 30 7948 WSW 22151111 E 11/17-15 55 10 2 38 50 WSW 9 15 2 1 WSW 30 6654 WSW 18114353 V 11/17-16 55 10 2 35 56 WSW 8 13 2 1 WSW 31 5359 WSW 15 77594 G 11/17-17 64 3 1 32 63 WSW 7 7 2 1 WSW 31 4064 SW 12 40835 F 11/17-18 64 3 1 29 71 WSW 6 6 2 1 WSW 30 2881 SW 10 28307 P 11/17-19 64 3 1 28 73 WSW 6 6 3 1 WSW 29 1698 SW 9 15778 P 11/17-20 64 3 1 26 78 WSW 6 6 3 1 WSW 28 515 SW 7 3249 P 11/17-21 64 3 1 25 80 SW 6 6 3 1 WSW 28 608 SW 8 4435 P 11/17-22 64 3 1 24 82 SW 7 7 3 1 WSW 28 700 SW 9 5621 P 11/17-23 53 3 1 23 84 SW 7 7 3 1 WSW 29 793 SW 10 6808 P 11/18-00 53 3 1 23 83 SW 7 7 3 1 WSW 30 1228 SW 12 13120 P 11/18-01 53 3 1 24 78 SW 7 7 2 1 WSW 31 1663 WSW 13 19433 P 11/18-02 53 3 1 23 81 SW 7 7 2 1 WSW 32 2098 WSW 14 25745 P 11/18-03 53 3 1 23 80 SW 7 7 2 1 WSW 31 2151 WSW 15 28503 P 11/18-04 53 3 1 22 84 SW 7 7 2 1 WSW 29 2203 WSW 16 31261 P 11/18-05 47 5 1 22 84 SW 7 7 2 1 W 25 2255 WSW 17 34020 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...CASEY CHEESBROUGH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121115.OWLMT.01/BOU