FNUS71 KCTP 151134 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR RANGE 35 RX...ARMY NATIONAL GUARD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 634 AM EST THU NOV 15 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON NOVEMBER 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL PROVIDE A LIGHT NORTH-NORTHEAST WIND AND SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES TODAY AND TONIGHT. CLOUDS COVERING MUCH OF THE COMMONWEALTH EARLY THIS MORNING WILL ERODE FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE DAY. EXPECT THE CLOUDS TO BUILD IN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY. EXPECT LIGHT WINDS AND RH/S ABOVE 40 PERCENT. THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS LOOKS QUIET WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300-3900 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............56 32 30 29 29 28 27 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................42 44 46 46 46 46 44 RH..................52 47 45 44 43 44 48 20 FT WIND DIR......E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD......5 6 5 5 3 3 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.9 3.3 3.6 3.9 3.9 3.5 2.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.....E SE SE SE E NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.....6 5 3 3 3 3 3 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29. MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............26 32 32 31 31 30 27 37 38 41 43 43 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................41 37 35 34 33 32 32 31 31 30 30 30 RH..................55 63 68 71 73 74 75 77 78 78 79 80 20 FT WIND DIR......E E E E E NE NE NE NE N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.....N N N N N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.....3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 6 7 8 8 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1700-2600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............46 52 57 60 60 60 60 43 43 43 43 43 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................29 30 33 36 39 41 43 44 46 47 45 43 RH..................81 77 70 64 58 54 51 49 46 44 50 54 20 FT WIND DIR......N N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.2 1.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.....N N N N N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.....8 9 8 8 8 8 8 9 10 12 13 14 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...CERU REQUESTED BY...TIM HAYDT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121115.RANGE.01/CTP