FNUS75 KCYS 152224
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR MED BOW PILES3...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
324 PM MST THU NOV 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1530 MST ON NOVEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO EASTERN
MONTANA AND EASTERN WYOMING BY DAWN FRIDAY WITH THE SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT STRENGTHENING AND WINDS BACKING FROM WEST TO SOUTHWEST.
AS WINDS BACK TO SOUTHWEST TONIGHT...WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN AS THE
SURFACE GRADIENT STRENGTHENS AND LOW AND MID LEVEL WINDS ALSO
INCREASE. WINDS WILL GUST TO 25 MPH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AS THE
GRADIENT STRENGTHENS OVER THE BURN SITE.

DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. ON FRIDAY...SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WILL STRENGTHEN AIDING THE SURFACE PRESSURE PATTERN TO STRENGTHEN...
AND PRODUCING SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH AT THE BURN SITE
IN THE AFTERNOON AS JET LEVEL WINDS STRENGTHEN TO 75 KNOTS.
GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER WEAK WEATHER
DISTURBANCE PASSES THROUGH WITH WINDS GUSTING TO 35 MPH AT THE
BURN SITE IN THE EVENING AND GUSTING TO 25 MPH LATE NIGHT FRIDAY
NIGHT AS WINDS SLOWLY DECOUPLE.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    12 TO 22 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
                    GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2300-43700 KNOT-FT).

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (27300-76200 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...RUBIN
REQUESTED BY...DARON REYNOLDS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121115.MEDBO.01/CYS