FNUS74 KEPZ 151848
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR AKERS...NM-LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1148 AM MST THU NOV 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1045 MST ON NOVEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS WILL TURN NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON...AS A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT
APPROACHES THE BURN SITE FROM THE NORTHEAST.  OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES
WILL SHOW NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHTS LOWS...HOWEVER
WINDS MAY GUST AS HIGH AS 20-25 MPH AT TIMES BEGINNING LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS IS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE VENT RATES INTO THE FAIR CATEGORY THIS EVENING.


MAX RH WILL RUN ROUGHLY 15-20 PERCENT HIGHER AS WELL OVERNIGHT...THAN WAS SEEN
WEDNESDAY EVENING. HAINES INDICES LOCALLY WILL RANGE FROM 4-5 THIS AFTERNOON
...FALLING TO 2-3 FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-NORTHEAST 7-10 MPH...INCREASING AND SHIFTING
                    NORTHEAST 10-15 MPH AFTER 1500L WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH OR HIGHER.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800-8100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO
                    4800 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......48000 KT-FT (FAIR) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    28800 (POOR).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 10-15 MPH...WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH EARLY.
                    WINDS SHIFTING EAST-SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 11 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......23100 KT-FT(POOR) EARLY...LOWERING TO (5500 KT-FT)
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-700 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 4700-6200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......2000 KT-FT (POOR) EARLY...RAISING
                    TO 27500 KT-FT (POOR) IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121115.AKERS.01/EPZ