FNUS76 KMFR 150714
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACK HAND PILE UNIT...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1114 PM PST WED NOV 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON NOVEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SUNNY SKY TO THE
BURN AREA TODAY. HOWEVER WARM AIR ALOFT WILL LIMIT MIXING AND
PROVIDE FOR MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS IN THE MIXED LAYER. THE AIR MASS
WILL BE A LITTLE DRIER IN THE AFTERNOON. TONIGHT THE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL SHIFT EAST ALLOWING A DISTURBANCE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA.
THIS DISTURBANCE WILL BRING MORE CLOUDS TO THE AREA AND WILL BE
UNSTABLE ENOUGH FOR SHOWER ACTIVITIES ON FRIDAY WITH SNOW
INCREASING IN INTENSITY FRIDAY NIGHT INTO THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY..
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-53.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-38 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT UPSLOPE WINDS UNTIL 0900 THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTH 2 TO 3 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
20 FT WINDS.........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 3 TO 4 MPH
20 FT WINDS.........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
                    THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON..
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-39.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 4 TO 5 MPH.
20 FT WINDS.........SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
CWR.................35 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS 35 TO 40. 20 FT WINDS SOUTH 10 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...
SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 28. HIGHS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...NICOLAS HOISINGTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121115.JACKH.01/MFR