FNUS73 KOAX 151108 FWSOAX SPOT FORECAST FOR KEG CREEK...PARTNER AGENCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 508 AM CST THU NOV 15 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1225 CST ON NOVEMBER 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL SLIP SOUTHEAST OF THE BURN SITE BEFORE NOON. LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS BEFORE NOON WILL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST NEAR IGNITION TIME...THEN BECOME NORTHERLY DURING THE BURN. SURFACE WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 15 MPH AS WINDS BECOME NORTHERLY. MID LEVEL CLOUDS SHOULD BEGIN TO THIN AROUND NOON WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES EXPECTED BY MID AFTERNOON. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES DURING THE BURN WILL DROP TO NEAR 40 PERCENT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 58. RH..................46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...THEN NEAR 2900 FT BY 3 PM. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CST) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM SKY (%).........30 24 16 10 9 7 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............54 58 56 49 43 39 RH..............46 40 40 49 59 68 20 FT WIND......N 7 N 8 N 8 N 9 N 9 N 8 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 29. RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 18 MPH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 55. RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...DERGAN REQUESTED BY...DUSTIN AUSDEMORE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121115.KEGCR.01/OAX